UFC Predictions: Fight Island 3 Whittaker vs. Till picks and best bets

Oct 5, 2019; Melbourne, AUSTRALIA; Robert Whittaker (red gloves) reacts after losing to Israel Adesanya (blue gloves) during UFC 243 at Marvel Stadium.
Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore


Show Bio

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

The finale of ‘Fight Island’ features a monster card of 15-fights. Headlined by a Middleweight fight between two of the top contenders, there is sure to be a ton of exciting action on Saturday.

We’ll share our UFC Fight Island 3 best bets here but head over to our main UFC Fight Island 3 predictions homepage, if you want, picks for every fight on the main and preliminary card. Please gamble responsibly when following our MMA picks and predictions.

UFC Fight Island 3 best bets

Main Card

Robert Whittaker (-120) Over Darren Till

The Main Event at UFC Fight Island 3 will see Robert Whittaker take on Darren Till. Whittaker comes as the #1 contender in the division and is 20-5 in his MMA career. He is 11-3 in the UFC, most recently having lost to Middleweight title holder, Israel Adesanya. Whittaker will look to keep this fight standing where he averages 4.77 significant strikes per minute.

Darren Till enters this fight as the #5 contender in the Middleweight division. He is 18-2-1 in his MMA career and 6-2-1 in the UFC. After a short 2-fight losing streak between September 2018-March 2019, Till bounced back by defeating Kelvin Gastellum in November of 2019. Even though Till won that last fight, he was out-struck 36 to 40 and was fortunate to get the split decision win. He is landing just 2.41 significant strikes per minute at an accuracy of 46%.

Do not expect this fight to go to the ground very often, but do look for the striking ability of Whittaker to be too much for Till. Over a 5-round fight, Whittaker should be able to wear Till down and pick up another huge win.

Marina Rodriguez (-167) Over Carla Esparza

Marina Rodriguez is set to take on Carla Esparza in a Strawweight bout scheduled for the Main Card. Rodriguez comes into this fight 2-0-2 in the UFC. She is the #9 contender in the division after drawing her last fight with Cynthia Calvillo. Her striking is her main strength, averaging 5.60 significant strikes per minute. Another thing she has going for her is her takedown defense, which is 70%. Though in both her draws, she was taken down at least 2 times, yet still managed to avoid her first loss.

Carla Esparza is the #7 contender in the Strawweight division and 7-4 in the UFC. Her striking is not the best as she is averaging just 2.3 significant strikes per minute. Where Esparza is going to try and win this fight is on the ground. She is averaging 3.28 takedowns per every 15 minutes, but only has a takedown accuracy of 33%. That takedown accuracy is concerning and if Rodriguez can keep this fight standing, it is going to be a long fight for Esparza. She has also struggled in fights with pure strikers, making this fight one that I believe will be too hard for Esparza to overcome.

Based on how well Rodriguez can defend takedowns and how good her striking is, I would look to the Rodriguez side to get the win.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook
Bet $5+ on Lions vs. Packers and Receive $200 in Bonus Bets!

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account

Bet $5 on any sporting event

Receive $200 in Bonus Bets

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+
Bet $1 and Get $365 in Bonus Bets!

Register for a new bet365 account

Place qualifying bets of $1 or more

Get $365 in bonus bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in OH, CO, NJ, VA, IA. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer.
Bet $5 on Lions vs. Packers, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly + Up to $150 in No Sweat Bets!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any sports market and get $200 in bonus bets instantly

Plus up to $150 back in bonus bets if your team loses!

Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as bonus bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com.
Caesars Sportsbook
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars for Lions vs. Packers!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

Place your first wager of $50 or more and get $50 bonus bet upon settlement of your first wager

You will receive an additional $50 bonus bet each subsequent Monday

21+. New users and first wager only. Must register with eligible promo code. Bet amount of qualifying wager returned only if wager is settled as a loss. Min. bet $50; must be used within 14 days of receipt. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Void where prohibited. Know When To Stop Before You Start.® Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Get $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets if you Don't Win Your First Bet on Lions vs. Packers!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,500!

Get refunded up to $1,500 in bonus bets if you don't win

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER CO, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, MA 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in DC, Nevada, New York or Ontario
Bet $50, Get $111 in Fred Bets + Up To $1,000 Back!

Sign up for a new account with Betfred Sports and make your first deposit

Place a $50 wager on any sport

Get $111 in Fred Bets + Up To $1,000 Back in Losses over 5 Week!

Must be 21+. T&Cs apply. Wagers only accepted in CO, AZ, IA, OH, VA, MD. Full terms available from Betfred Sports.
Get Up To $1,000 in Second Chance Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

If any of your first 10 cash bets lose (first bet per day for 10 days)

You will receive Bonus Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $100 each.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer.
Get up to $500 Back in Bonus Bets if your First Bet Doesn't Win

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code SPORTS

Make your first deposit & and bet up to $500

If your first bet loses, get up to $500 back in bonus bets

Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF
Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus

Create a new DraftKings Sportsbook account and make your first deposit (min $5)

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.
Underdog Fantasy
First deposit is 100% matched up to $500 with Underdog Fantasy!

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $500) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply
By signing up you agree to our terms and privacy policy