UFC Predictions: Fight Island 3 Whittaker vs. Till picks and best bets

Oct 5, 2019; Melbourne, AUSTRALIA; Robert Whittaker (red gloves) reacts after losing to Israel Adesanya (blue gloves) during UFC 243 at Marvel Stadium.
Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore

UFC · 1 year ago

Show Bio

Matthew has been with Pickswise for over a year now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passion is college football and that is the sport he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will do everything he can to make his readers money.

The finale of ‘Fight Island’ features a monster card of 15-fights. Headlined by a Middleweight fight between two of the top contenders, there is sure to be a ton of exciting action on Saturday.

We’ll share our UFC Fight Island 3 best bets here but head over to our main UFC Fight Island 3 predictions homepage, if you want, picks for every fight on the main and preliminary card. Please gamble responsibly when following our MMA picks and predictions.

UFC Fight Island 3 best bets

Main Card

Robert Whittaker (-120) Over Darren Till

The Main Event at UFC Fight Island 3 will see Robert Whittaker take on Darren Till. Whittaker comes as the #1 contender in the division and is 20-5 in his MMA career. He is 11-3 in the UFC, most recently having lost to Middleweight title holder, Israel Adesanya. Whittaker will look to keep this fight standing where he averages 4.77 significant strikes per minute.

Darren Till enters this fight as the #5 contender in the Middleweight division. He is 18-2-1 in his MMA career and 6-2-1 in the UFC. After a short 2-fight losing streak between September 2018-March 2019, Till bounced back by defeating Kelvin Gastellum in November of 2019. Even though Till won that last fight, he was out-struck 36 to 40 and was fortunate to get the split decision win. He is landing just 2.41 significant strikes per minute at an accuracy of 46%.

Do not expect this fight to go to the ground very often, but do look for the striking ability of Whittaker to be too much for Till. Over a 5-round fight, Whittaker should be able to wear Till down and pick up another huge win.

Marina Rodriguez (-167) Over Carla Esparza

Marina Rodriguez is set to take on Carla Esparza in a Strawweight bout scheduled for the Main Card. Rodriguez comes into this fight 2-0-2 in the UFC. She is the #9 contender in the division after drawing her last fight with Cynthia Calvillo. Her striking is her main strength, averaging 5.60 significant strikes per minute. Another thing she has going for her is her takedown defense, which is 70%. Though in both her draws, she was taken down at least 2 times, yet still managed to avoid her first loss.

Carla Esparza is the #7 contender in the Strawweight division and 7-4 in the UFC. Her striking is not the best as she is averaging just 2.3 significant strikes per minute. Where Esparza is going to try and win this fight is on the ground. She is averaging 3.28 takedowns per every 15 minutes, but only has a takedown accuracy of 33%. That takedown accuracy is concerning and if Rodriguez can keep this fight standing, it is going to be a long fight for Esparza. She has also struggled in fights with pure strikers, making this fight one that I believe will be too hard for Esparza to overcome.

Based on how well Rodriguez can defend takedowns and how good her striking is, I would look to the Rodriguez side to get the win.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on Any MLB Game, Get $200 if Your Team Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $200 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,500

Get up to $1,500 Risk-Free First Bet!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.