UFC Predictions: UFC Fight Night 175 Smith vs. Rakic picks and parlays

Feb 29, 2020; Norfolk, Virginia, USA; Sean Brady (red gloves) celebrates beating Ismail Naurdiev (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Chartway Arena.
Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore

UFC

Show Bio

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this.

This week the Main Event at UFC Fight Night 175 will feature two Light Heavyweights fighting for the chance to make a claim for the title. There are some huge favorites among this event, so looking for a parlay could be the best way to find the most value.

Here is our favorite three-fight parlay that pays at odds of +105. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 175 predictions for the full 11-fight card.

Mallory Martin Money Line (-335)

Mallory Martin is looking to bounce back from her UFC debut loss, which was back in December of 2019. She is landing an average of 4.56 significant strikes per minute at 59% accuracy. She also is absorbing quite a few strikes per minute, 5.60, however she has never been knocked out.

Hannah Cifers will fight for the fourth time this year, having lost all three of her previous fights. She was finished in all three fights as well, so to say she is struggling in an understatement. Her main issue is the fact that she absorbs 5.64 strikes. Now her grappling has also been what has gotten her in trouble recently. Her takedown defense is 66%, but in her last two fights, she lost by submission.

I just do not see any method of victory for Cifers, so I will back Martin as the part of a parlay.

Sean Brady Money Line (-460)

Sean Brady is a perfect 12-0 to start his MMA career and is 2-0 in the UFC. Brady has excellent striking, landing an average of 5.53 significant strikes per minute at an accuracy of 55%. Brady also has terrific grappling skills, averaging 3.00 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He lands his takedowns with 50% accuracy, but defends them with 100% accuracy.

Christian Aguilera is fresh off his UFC debut win, a fight where he knocked his opponent out in the first round. This fight was in June of this year, so a quick turnaround here. Aguilera showed fantastic striking ability against Ivy, but has been prone to getting knocked out in the past.

Brady has a much more balanced skill-set as shown by his grappling, while Aguilera only looks to comfortable on his feet. I think Brady is going to continue his trend of dominating this opponent and will pick up a third straight win in the Octagon.

Magomed Ankalaev Money Line (-335)

Magomed Ankalaev has won four fights in a row, with his only loss coming back in 2018. He will look to keep this fight standing, averaging 3.46 significant strikes per minute. He absorbs just 1.24 strikes, so his striking defense has looked elite thus far. His grappling game is lacking, but at the very least, he has a takedown defense of 85%.

Ion Cutelaba is landing an average of 5.29 significant strikes per minute, but only at an accuracy of 39%. On the ground is where Cutelaba will want this fight as he is averaging 2.59 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 71% and his takedown defense is 80%.

Cutelaba just recently recovered from Covid-19, so his strength might not be what it was. For that reason, I like Ankalaev to win the rematch.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
Unibet

$100

Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetRivers

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet on Colts vs. Broncos!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet on Colts vs. Broncos

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5+ on Colts or Broncos ML, Get $200 If Your Team Wins

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game ML in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$800

Get 4x $200 In Free Bets on Colts vs. Broncos

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet on Colts vs. Broncos

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet on Colts vs. Broncos

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 in Free Bets on Colts vs. Broncos

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Free Bets on Colts vs. Broncos

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy

$100

First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply