UFC Predictions: UFC Fight Night 178 Covington vs. Woodley picks and parlays

Kevin Holland after his fight at UFC Fight Night Greenville
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Matthew Lowrimore

UFC · 2 years ago

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this.

This week the Main Event at UFC Fight Night 178 will feature two Welterweights fighting for the chance to make a claim for the title. There are some huge favorites among this event, so looking for a parlay could be the best way to find the most value.

Here is our favorite three-fight parlay that pays at odds of +176. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 178 predictions for the full 14-fight card.

Andre Ewell Money Line (-235)

Ewell comes into this fight 16-6 in the MMA and 3-2 in the UFC. He is coming off a split decision win against Jonathan Martinez. This fight was back in February of this year. Ewell is a pretty decent striker, averaging 3.74 significant strikes per minute. He absorbs 3.95 strikes per minute, and has only been knocked out once. His grappling is nothing special, averaging 0.21 takedowns per every 15 minutes with an accuracy of 50%.

Rivera is 10-5 in the MMA entering this fight and 1-1 in the UFC after picking up his first UFC win in his most recent fight. This fight was back in August of this year, so it has been a quick turnaround. Rivera is by no means a flashy striker, averaging just 2.33 strikes per minute. He has some ability to grapple, averaging 1.00 takedowns per every 15 minutes, but with an accuracy of 22%.

Mayra Bueno Silva Money Line (-250)

Silva is 5-1 in her MMA career and 1-1 in the UFC. She dropped her last fight by decision back in March of this year. She is a very good striker, averaging 4.87 significant strikers per minute, landing them at 54%. Her striking defense could be a problem, absorbing 7.26 strikes per minute. However, she has never lost by KO/TKO. She has little to no grappling game, but can defend takedowns at 75%. While she does not land takedowns, she still has three wins by submission, so she can at least fight on the ground.

Borella comes into this fight really struggling, having lost three fights in a row. She is now 2-4 in the UFC and 11-8 in the MMA. Her striking is lacking to say the least, averaging just 2.54 significant strikes per minute at just 37% accuracy. She does not absorb all that much damage, just 2.54 strikes per minute. However, she still has four losses by KO/TKO in her career.

Kevin Holland Money Line (-260)

Holland is starting to make noise in the division, winning his last two fights in a row. He is now 5-2 in the UFC and will be looking to climb the rankings even more. The last two wins by Holland have come by TKO as well, so his striking is looking solid. He averages 4.65 significant strikes per minute, landing them at 55% accuracy. He also has great defense, absorbing just 2.69 strikes per minute.

Stewart also is coming into this fight off a win, beating Maki Pitolo by submission back in August of this year. He is now 5-5 in the UFC and 12-5 overall. His striking is not as great, averaging 2.97 significant strikes per minute. He also absorbs 2.47 strikes, so he is great at limiting the damage.

Holland has finished 15 of his 18 wins and Stewart has finished 8 of his 12 wins. Holland has showed much more power in his recent fights, and I believe he has a good chance to win this fight.

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