U.S. Open Day 2 best bets: Upsets abound on women's side

Karolina Muchova
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon


Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

First-round action at the 2021 U.S. Open wraps up on Tuesday. Novak Djokovic headlines the order of play as he begins his bid for the calendar-year Grand Slam. The Australian Open, French Open, and Wimbledon champion is kicking things off against an 18-year-old, Holger Rune of Denmark. Needless to say, there isn’t really any value in that particular match. But there plenty of other betting opportunities.

Throughout the next two weeks, Pickswise will be offering plenty of content to help you win big with tennis betting.

Let’s continue by taking a look at some of the best bets for Tuesday in New York, and be sure to also check out our best futures bets on both the men’s side and the women’s side for the upcoming fortnight.

Jordan Thompson -1.5 sets over Gianluca Mager (-150)

The surface pretty much dictates the outcome of this matchup. Mager is the essence of a clay-court specialist. In his career, the Italian has won 223 matches on the red stuff — he has won just 28 on hard courts. Over the past two seasons Mager is 4-9 on hard.

Thompson has earned 9 hard-court victories this season along, including one over Mager in Melbourne. The Australian has already advanced to a pair of quarterfinals this summer, so he is playing well right now, certainly well enough to make routine work of a soft opponent like Mager. This will likely be a straight-sets result, so -1.5 sets should be safe.

Parlay: Mackenzie McDonald over David Goffin and Reilly Opelka over Soonwoo Kwon (-120)

We are doubling up on American men in this parlay, and it’s one that I have hard time seeing as a loser. Don’t be fooled by Goffin’s status as a seed (No. 27); he has been struggling with all kinds of physical issues (injuries and Covid-19). The Belgian is a shadow of his former self; in fact, he has not won a single match since May. McDonald made a recent run to the Washington, D.C. final, so he is brimming with confidence and likely to take advantage of a struggling opponent.

Like his compatriot, Opelka is also in fine form. The 6’11’’ 24-year-old finished runner-up in Toronto, where he knocked off Nick Kyrgios, Grigor Dimitrov, Roberto Bautista Agut, and Stefanos Tsitsipas. Opelka beat Kwon 6-3, 6-4 in their only previous meeting (last season on the hard courts of Delray Beach). Something similar should be in store for New York.

Upset of the day: Sara Sorribes Tormo over Karolina Muchova (+134)

Sorribes Tormo’s breakout season on tour has her up to No. 41 in the world. It isn’t quite enough to be seeded at the U.S. Open, which is why she is facing Muchova — the No. 22 seed — right off the bat. But that’s actually worse news for Muchova than it is for Sorribes Tormo. The Spaniard, who leads the head-to-head series 1-0, is coming off a quarterfinal run in Montreal and a semifinal showing in Cleveland. She also upset world No. 1 Ashleigh Barty at the Tokyo Olympics. Meanwhile, Muchova has played only two tournaments since Wimbledon. She lost her opening match in Montreal and then retired in the Cincinnati third round because of an abdominal injury.

I also like Viktorija Golubic (+172) to beat the injury-plagued Bianca Andreescu, Zarina Diyas (+206) to defeat Amanada Anisimova, and Martina Trevisan (+140) over Coco Vandeweghe.

Pickswise is the home of expert ATP Tennis and WTA Tennis Predictions. Our tennis handicappers provide expert insight along with the best tennis bets throughout the big tournaments on the tour, including the Grand Slam events.

Virginia Bonuses

See All


Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

FanDuel Sportsbook


Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.



Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF



Bet $10, Win $200 if Any NBA Team Hits a Three Pointer!

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NBA game

Win $200 in free bets if any team hits a three pointer

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Bet $5 & Win $150 If Your First Moneyline Bet Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game Moneyline in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.



Get 4x $200 In Free Bets

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook


Get a $1,250 risk-free bet

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.



Bet $10, Get $200 if Any NHL Team Scores A Goal

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NHL game

Win $200 in free bets if any teams scores a goal

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get 5x $100 in Free Bets for Steelers vs. Colts!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.



Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight


Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.



Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.



Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy


First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply