U.S. Open Day 2 best bets: Upsets abound on women's side

Karolina Muchova
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon

Tennis· 3 weeks ago

Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

First-round action at the 2021 U.S. Open wraps up on Tuesday. Novak Djokovic headlines the order of play as he begins his bid for the calendar-year Grand Slam. The Australian Open, French Open, and Wimbledon champion is kicking things off against an 18-year-old, Holger Rune of Denmark. Needless to say, there isn’t really any value in that particular match. But there plenty of other betting opportunities.

Throughout the next two weeks, Pickswise will be offering plenty of content to help you win big with tennis betting.

Let’s continue by taking a look at some of the best bets for Tuesday in New York, and be sure to also check out our best futures bets on both the men’s side and the women’s side for the upcoming fortnight.

Jordan Thompson -1.5 sets over Gianluca Mager (-150)

The surface pretty much dictates the outcome of this matchup. Mager is the essence of a clay-court specialist. In his career, the Italian has won 223 matches on the red stuff — he has won just 28 on hard courts. Over the past two seasons Mager is 4-9 on hard.

Thompson has earned 9 hard-court victories this season along, including one over Mager in Melbourne. The Australian has already advanced to a pair of quarterfinals this summer, so he is playing well right now, certainly well enough to make routine work of a soft opponent like Mager. This will likely be a straight-sets result, so -1.5 sets should be safe.

Parlay: Mackenzie McDonald over David Goffin and Reilly Opelka over Soonwoo Kwon (-120)

We are doubling up on American men in this parlay, and it’s one that I have hard time seeing as a loser. Don’t be fooled by Goffin’s status as a seed (No. 27); he has been struggling with all kinds of physical issues (injuries and Covid-19). The Belgian is a shadow of his former self; in fact, he has not won a single match since May. McDonald made a recent run to the Washington, D.C. final, so he is brimming with confidence and likely to take advantage of a struggling opponent.

Like his compatriot, Opelka is also in fine form. The 6’11’’ 24-year-old finished runner-up in Toronto, where he knocked off Nick Kyrgios, Grigor Dimitrov, Roberto Bautista Agut, and Stefanos Tsitsipas. Opelka beat Kwon 6-3, 6-4 in their only previous meeting (last season on the hard courts of Delray Beach). Something similar should be in store for New York.

Upset of the day: Sara Sorribes Tormo over Karolina Muchova (+134)

Sorribes Tormo’s breakout season on tour has her up to No. 41 in the world. It isn’t quite enough to be seeded at the U.S. Open, which is why she is facing Muchova — the No. 22 seed — right off the bat. But that’s actually worse news for Muchova than it is for Sorribes Tormo. The Spaniard, who leads the head-to-head series 1-0, is coming off a quarterfinal run in Montreal and a semifinal showing in Cleveland. She also upset world No. 1 Ashleigh Barty at the Tokyo Olympics. Meanwhile, Muchova has played only two tournaments since Wimbledon. She lost her opening match in Montreal and then retired in the Cincinnati third round because of an abdominal injury.

I also like Viktorija Golubic (+172) to beat the injury-plagued Bianca Andreescu, Zarina Diyas (+206) to defeat Amanada Anisimova, and Martina Trevisan (+140) over Coco Vandeweghe.

Pickswise is the home of expert ATP Tennis and WTA Tennis Predictions. Our tennis handicappers provide expert insight along with the best tennis bets throughout the big tournaments on the tour, including the Grand Slam events.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
DraftKings

$200

Bet $1 On Any NFL Football Game & Get $150 In Free Bets Instantly!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Bet $1 on any Pro Football game

Instantly get $150 in free bets

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

Caesars Sportsbook

$5,000

Get a $5,000 Risk Free Bet + a free NFL Jersey!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $5,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $5,000 + a free NFL Jersey

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign Up Bonus with TwinSpires Racebook!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code BET200

Make a deposit and start wagering on horse racing

Earn $100 in bonus cash for every $400 wagered!

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.