Where will Aaron Rodgers play in 2021? Betting odds and predictions

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) after a touchdown against the New Orleans Saints
Photo of Andrew Ortenberg

Andrew Ortenberg


Show Bio

I'm an NFL handicapper here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

The NFL Draft was this past weekend, but that’s not what garnered most of the headlines. Instead, the drama surrounding Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers took center stage. Reports suddenly emerged that the reigning MVP wanted out of Green Bay, and the situation quickly devolved.

Rodgers is reportedly at odds with the front office, and wants a trade. If he can’t get that trade, he’s threatening to retire. It’s all of a sudden one of the biggest NFL stories in recent memory, and the saga is only getting started. If the Packers do relent and trade Rodgers, there won’t be any shortage of interested teams.

DraftKings is now offering odds on where Rodgers will be playing next season, and that’s what we’re looking at today. Let’s dive in:

Green Bay Packers -125

Denver Broncos +200

Las Vegas Raiders +500

New Orleans Saints +900

Carolina Panthers +1000

Miami Dolphins +1400

Washington Football Team +1400

San Francisco 49ers +1600

Seattle Seahawks +1600

All other teams are 20/1 or higher. It’s interesting to see the Broncos be such a (relative) heavy favorite compared to the rest of the field. There was a report from a radio host in Denver that a deal was close over the weekend, but obviously, that turned out not to be true. When reports of a trade demand first emerged, Mike Florio of ProFootballTalk reported that the Broncos, Raiders, and 49ers were on Rodgers’ wishlist in no particular order.

Obviously, the 49ers then drafted Trey Lance, which is why they’re sitting at 16/1. The Broncos have been searching for an answer at quarterback since Peyton Manning retired, and they clearly don’t think Drew Lock is it. They also aren’t married to Teddy Bridgewater long-term after trading for him this offseason.

The Raiders have Derek Carr coming off a career year, but Jon Gruden has never seemed overly enamored with him. The thought of Rodgers teaming up with Sean Payton in New Orleans is undeniably fun. But it appears Payton is quite comfortable with Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill.

The Panthers were set to make an aggressive push for Deshaun Watson, but then they settled for Sam Darnold. Miami insists they’re happy with Tua Tagovailoa. Washington needs a quarterback of the future, but they did sign Ryan Fitzpatrick. A Russell Wilson for Rodgers swap would surely break everyone’s brains.

Now that we’ve broken down what’s standing in the way, let’s talk about how I see it playing out:

Aaron Rodgers best bets

I’m not sure I’m going to touch this prop given the uncertainty of the situation. If I did, it would probably have to be the Packers at -125. Boring, I know. But getting pretty much even money sounds a lot better than trying to guess which team would pull it off. Just a couple of months ago, Rodgers was looking for an extension from the team, and although things have gotten ugly I don’t think it’s completely unsalvageable.

I’m certainly not touching the Broncos at such short odds. If I was going to make a wager on a team, it would either be the Raiders at +500 or the Panthers at +1000. 

There have been reports of a potential overhaul in the Raiders’ front office. If Gruden seizes more power, I could see him selling the farm to land Rodgers. Rodgers apparently has interest in playing there, and it would be a coup for owner Mark Davis as he prepares to welcome fans to his new stadium in Las Vegas for the first time.

Gruden wants to take more big swings, and it wouldn’t get much bigger than this. The Packers might be willing to take Carr in a trade, knowing they could flip him to another quarterback-needy team and then start Jordan Love.

Reporting all offseason indicated the Panthers were going to be extremely aggressive. New owner David Tepper has acknowledged as such. They were rumored to be preparing a big push for Watson before that situation got put on ice by his sexual harassment allegations.

I don’t think Tepper and head coach Matt Rhule would pass on Rodgers just because of Darnold. They didn’t give up a first-rounder for him, and they’ve still got plenty of ammo to use in a package for Green Bay. A lot of people still thought they would draft a quarterback eighth overall even after acquiring Darnold, so I certainly wouldn’t rule them out here.

Can’t wait for the NFL season to begin? Well, luckily Pickswise is also the home of free MLB predictions, NBA predictions , and NHL predictions.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
EXCLUSIVE OFFER: Bet on CBB Tournament and get $1,000 Paid Back in Bonus Bets if you Don't Win + $25 Bonus Bet

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit

Place your first bet and get refunded up to $1,000 in bonus bets if you don't win

Plus receive a $25 Bonus Bet after placing your qualifying wager

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER CO, OH, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in DC, Nevada, New York or Ontario
FanDuel Sportsbook
Get a $1,000 No Sweat Bet on any CBB Tournament Game!

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account

Make a first-time deposit of $10+, and then place your first real-money wager on FanDuel Sportsbook

New customers get their first bet paid back in bonus bets up to $1,000 if you lose!

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.
Bet $5+ any College Basketball Pre-Game ML And Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your Team Wins

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Make your first deposit and bet $5+ on any pre-game ML

Get $150 in bonus bets if your team wins

Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $150 issued as bonus bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com..
Virginia Bettors- Get a $100 Free Bet for the CBB Tournament

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.
Bet $1 on the CBB Tournament and Get $365 in Bonus Bets at bet365!

Register for a new bet365 account

Place qualifying bets of $1 or more

Get $365 in bonus bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

New Customer Offer. Deposit required. Bonus Bets added to Bonus Bet Credits balance. Bonus Bet risk excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply. Must be physically located in VA.
Bet $100 on the CBB Tournament & Get $100 Bet Credit

Register for a WynnBET account today.

Deposit & Wager $100 on any sports market (odds -120 or greater).

Get a $100 Bet Credit.

Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Get a $500 Free Bet for the CBB Tournament

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF
Caesars Sportsbook
Your First Cash Bet on the CBB Tournament Is On Caesars Up To $1,250

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

If you lose, you get 100% of your stake back as a Bet Credit - up to $1,250.

AND win or lose, you’ll also get 1,000 Reward Credits¼ and 1,000 Tier Credits.

21+. Terms and conditions apply.
Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus when you bet on the CBB Tournament

Create a new DraftKings Sportsbook account and make your first deposit (min $5)

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.
Get $1,000 Paid Back in Bonus Bets if you Don't Win your CBB Tournament Bet

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded up to $1,000 in bonus bets if you don't win

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER CO, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in DC, Nevada, New York or Ontario
Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.
Underdog Fantasy
First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply
Owners Box
First Time Deposit Bonus Up To $500

Sign up for a new DFS account with OwnersBox

User's first deposit will be matched up to $500 in site-credit

Join one of their Daily NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL contests

You must be at least eighteen (18) years of age to receive deposit bonuses, participate in Contests, or win prizes offered through OwnersBox Contests. In jurisdictions, territories, and locations where the minimum age for permissible use of Contests is greater than eighteen (18) years old, you must meet the age requirement in your local jurisdiction or territory.