Commanders vs Giants Same Game Parlay: Best SGP Picks
Week 10 of the 2026 NFL gets underway with Thursday Night Football between the Washington Commanders and New York Giants at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. It is huge matchup in the NFC East, where everyone is still alive simply because the division is so bad.
Here is my SGP for Thursday’s primetime festivities, which get underway at 8:15 pm ET on Amazon Prime. Also be sure to check out our full Commanders vs Giants predictions.
Giants -5.5 alternate spread (+140)
Malik Nabers Over 69.5 receiving yards (-111)
Malik Nabers to score a touchdown (+160)
Parlay odds: +650
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as New York receiver Malik Nabers having a big night would obviously work well with a big win by the Giants. Let’s break down each of the three legs.
Giants -5.5 alternate spread (+140)
The first meeting between these two division rivals resulted in an infamous and quite simply a disastrous tie. New York fumbled in field-goal range when it could have won the game in overtime, after which Washington had the clock run out when it also found itself in chip-shot range for a game-winning field goal. It has to be said that the whole situation was far more embarrassing for the Commanders, so they might have trouble getting it out of their minds in the rematch. They also have to go on the road after having home-field advantage for the first encounter. Head coach Dan Quinn’s crew is 0-3 on the road this season compared to a respectable 2-2-1 in the nation’s capital. New York is a solid 3-1 at MetLife Stadium. Due to both injuries of his own a a depleted receiver corps, Jayden Daniels has taken a step back since his breakout rookie campaign. Washington’s defense is fine, but the offense simply is not generating enough points. The Giants, on the other hand, are trending in a positive direction on both sides of the ball. Running back Cam Skattebo is projected to return after missing last week’s 19-11 win over Philadelphia due to hamstring issue. Quarterback J.J. McCarthy (hip) was also a full participant in practice on Tuesday and should be good to go for this one. Defensively, the G-Men are ranked #9 league wide in opponents’ yards per play (5.0) and second overall in opponent yards per pass (6.0). Linebacker Arvell Reese, who leads NYG in solo tackles (49), earned NFC Defensive Player of the Week honors with three sacks, 10 solo tackles and three tackles for loss. Give me the home team to prevail by at least a touchdown on Thursday night.
Malik Nabers Over 69.5 receiving yards (-111)
Nabers has been stellar this season, with 53 receptions on 78 targets for 648 yards and two touchdowns. He had an especially huge day against the Commanders last month, getting a ridiculous 20 targets and hauling in 11 of those for 121 yards and a score. Rams receiver Puka Nacua had 14 catches on 19 targets 150 yards and one TD last weekend against this same Washington defense. It would be no surprise if Nabers goes crazy in Thursday’s matchup.
Malik Nabers to score a touchdown (+160)
The LSU product has found the endzone only twice so far in 2026, but the encouraging sign is that one of those has come against the Commanders and both have come in the last five games. Washington has given up the fourth-most passing touchdowns in the NFL (16). Nabers has scored in two of four appearances against the Commanders in his young professional career, so getting him this far into plus money to add another TD to his total has outstanding value.
