- Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks
Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks
Pickswise's Expert Predictions & Analysis
Money Line Prediction
The Golden State Warriors travel to Madison Square Garden tonight to face-off against the New York Knicks in a matchup of two teams that are over-performing relative to their preseason expectations. Stephen Curry is expected to return to the lineup for the Dubs after missing the Warriors previous game against the Charlotte Hornets due to a mysterious illness that saw him removed from the starting lineup only minutes prior to tip-off on Saturday night. The Warriors offense goes as Curry goes, meaning that you should closely monitor the status of Curry prior to placing a wager on this contest. Without Curry in the lineup against the Hornets, the Warriors looked absolutely lost on the offensive end of the floor. Against one of the league’s best defenses, Golden State is going to need all of the offensive firepower that they can get.
One of the Warriors’ biggest weaknesses this year has been their rebounding. They rank dead-last in rebounding rate, but a lot of this has to do with the fact that they have seen their frontcourt depth decimated by injuries. Fortunately for Golden State, both James Wiseman and Kevon Looney have been upgraded from “out” to “questionable” ahead of this Tuesday night matchup. Once again, it is worth monitoring these injuries ahead of the start of action. If Curry is healthy and ready to go, lock in your wager on the Warriors. If Wiseman and Looney return to the lineup, it might be worth adding an extra unit or two on the play.
Game Totals Prediction
Head coach Tom Thibodeau has convinced the Knicks players to play every defensive possession as if their next contract was on the line each time down the court. New York has smothered its opponents all season long, holding them to a league-best 43.0 percent from the field and 32.4 percent from the three-point line. They also defend the paint extremely well, owning the third-best defensive field-goal percentage inside of five feet. Golden State is top-five in defensive efficiency and may get a couple of their interior players back tonight, as well. There are a lot of signs pointing to the under in this one.
Computer Model Picks & Projections
The Pickswise supercomputer creates pre-game probabilities using machine learning techniques as inputs to a Monte Carlo approach. This means we simulate a sporting event 10,000 times, catering for the deep range of outcomes and probabilities within a given event. We first predict the performance of each individual player based on hundreds of algorithmic variabilities which we use to run our event simulations. The probabilities themselves are dynamic in nature and are updated as new information such as team news, weather conditions, and movement within betting markets become available. We consider a value bet as one which identifies a discrepancy between our projections and the prevailing betting markets. The ability to consistently identify anomalies between our consolidated projections and sportsbook odds provides you with an increased chance of being a successful gambler and having longterm success.