Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/11/26

Tottenham moved out of the relegation zone thanks to back-to-back victories, beating Wolves 1-0 before last Sunday’s 2-1 victory at Aston Villa. However, they were Tottenham’s 6th and 7th away wins of the campaign, with points proving harder to come by at home. Spurs have claimed a joint-low 11 points at home this season. That is as many as Burnley, and 2 fewer than bottom team Wolves. Clashes with those 2 account for 4 of those home points, with Spurs suffering 10 defeats in 17 home league games across an awful campaign. While Roberto De Zerbi appears to have lifted the mood at the club, his 2nd home game in charge will be an acid test for the former Brighton boss.

Leeds avoided relegation this season following West Ham’s defeat to Arsenal on Sunday, but Daniel Farke’s side are already looking good for another top-flight campaign after a 6-game unbeaten run in the league. Leeds have scored 10 times across their last 4 matches, which have seen them win 2-1 at Manchester United and hold Champions League-chasing Bournemouth to a 2-2 away from home. While the Elland Road side have a poor record in the capital, they have little reason to fear Spurs. This season has been redemptive for Farke, who looked under threat early on following 2 poor showings at this level with Norwich. His side has stepped up over the last couple of months, losing only 1 of their last 13 away trips, and going 9 games without defeat on the road.

Tottenham have taken a step forward under De Zerbi, but they’ve conceded 18 goals across their last 7 home matches, shipping at least twice in each of those. The home support will still be feeling nervous heading into this contest, and this physical Leeds team is more than capable of causing problems for Spurs. Tottenham have scored in 28 of their 35 league games this season, and they’ve netted five goals in three games under De Zerbi’s watch. Leeds have conceded 31 times in 17 away trips, so both teams to score appeals.

Spurs vs Leeds prediction: Both teams to score (-142) available at time of publishing. Playable to -150.

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