MLB Picks

Here, we will see the Miami Marlins go up against the Los Angeles Dodgers for the second time this season. In yesterday’s game, we saw the Dodgers come away with a 7-6 victory in extra innings. The Marlins bullpen was called in early in this one due to Edward Cabrera giving up 9 hits and 5 runs in 4 innings. This was the 3^rd victory in a row for the Dodgers and the 3^rd loss in a row for the Marlins. The Marlins will look for Sandy Alcantara to turn things around. This may be a big ask, as he has given up 13 runs on 14 hits, including 8 walks in his last 13.2 innings pitched. To top it off, the Dodgers lineup hold a .306 batting average against Alcantara with a .515 slugging percentage. This is an extremely concerning statistic as the Dodgers have a .295 batting average over the past week. To make matters worse, the Marlins were forced to use 6 bullpen pitchers in the previous game. This means that they may be relying on Alcantara to go deep into the game to avoid burning out the bullpen.

Overall, the clear edge in this game comes in the form of the Dodgers bats. The Dodgers have a history of hitting Alcantara well. Additionally, the Dodgers have scored 24 runs in the last 3 games accruing a total of 37 hits. It is hard to believe that this will be the game where Alcantara is able to turn around his below-average form. Our lean is on the Dodgers to cover the run line.

Marlins vs Dodgers prediction: Los Angeles -1.5 (+110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Orioles won the first game of this series on Monday night 4-3, but the Yankees could be in a solid spot to even up the series. Baltimore has been a hard team to trust so far in 2025. The Orioles enter this contest with an overall record of 11-17, and only the White Sox have fewer wins in the American League. The offense hasn’t clicked, as runs have been hard to come by, and pitching has been even more of a struggle. Baltimore owns the highest team ERA in the AL at 5.24, and New York’s powerful lineup should be ready to roll against Kyle Gibson.

The 37-year-old Gibson will be making his first start of the season, and hasn’t pitched since April 20 at the High-A level. The Yankees have had his number historically, as Gibson is 3-7 with a 5.48 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 13 career starts against them. Veteran left-hander Carlos Rodon is slated to take the hill for the Yankees. Rodon has looked sharp lately, as he hasn’t allowed an earned run and has given up just 6 hits over his last 2 outings (13.0 innings). Coming off a loss last night, consider backing the Yankees -1.5.

Yankees vs Orioles prediction: New York -1.5 (+105) available at time of publishing. Playable to +100.

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It’s an NL Central showdown as the Chicago Cubs head east to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. Both teams are coming off back-to-back losses and will look to regain momentum heading into the month of May. This will be the first time the Cubs have faced anyone from their own division and it should be an exciting matchup as these two clubs are playing at completely different levels this season. It’s going to be a southpaw battle as the Cubs are expected to start Shota Imanaga who’s 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA in six starts this season. Imanaga has struck out 27 and has a WHIP of 1.09 in 34 innings. For the Pirates, Andrew Heaney has been having himself a year. The 11th-year veteran is 2-1 with a 1.72 ERA in five starts. In 31.1 innings pitched, Heaney has struck out 31 and has a WHIP of 0.77. 

Heany has been impressive this season, there’s no denying that, but the last time he faced an offense as powerful as the Cubs were the Yankees back on April 6. The Cubs love hitting left-handed pitching, batting .282 with 11 homers. It doesn’t matter who the Pirates face, their offense is one of the worst in all of baseball, sitting in 27th in OPS (.645) and averaging just 3.5 runs per game. As for the Cubs, they’re first in all of baseball in OPS (.784) and average 5.9 runs per game. Heany is going to have his work cut out for him and at the end of the day, this Cubs team is more well-rounded than the Pirates, which is why I’ll be backing the Cubs moneyline as my best bet of the day. 

Cubs vs Pirates prediction: Chicago ML (-155) available at time of publishing. Playable at that price.

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The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies begin a set of 3 games on Tuesday. The Phillies were off on Monday after taking 2 of 3 from the Cubs. The Nats got blasted by the Mets, 19-5 on Monday, but they did split the 4-game series. On Tuesday we have a terrific pitching matchup with MacKenzie Gore facing Zack Wheeler. But we also have an ideal hitting day with temps in the upper 70s and a forecasted 17 mph wind blowing out. I think this is a sneaky spot to play the over with 2 great pitchers keeping the run total down. My Nats vs Phillies pick is Over 8.5.

More than anything, this is a bet against 2 bad bullpens. In fact, these have been the 2 worst bullpens in baseball, with the Nats dragging a 7.30 ERA and the Phillies at 5.28. As much as anything, I am betting against 2 awful bullpens on a very windy day. As for the starters, Gore has been electric so far — punching out 7+ hitters in 5 of his 6 starts and twice fanning 13. But he has also given up at least 2 runs in every outing but on — Opening Day against the Phillies, when he blanked them over 6.0 innings. Wheeler is having a similar season. He has struck out a bunch of dudes, but he has given up more runs than we would expect. His best start of the season was probably also Opening Day against the Nats. If the starters leave the game in the sixth inning with a 2-2 score, I think the bullpens can get us over the total from there. Let’s bet against bad bullpens, especially on windy days, until they get their acts together.

Nationals vs Phillies prediction: Over 8.5 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Red Sox ace Garrett Crochet looks to help his team make it 3 in a row as he takes the mound against the AL East rival Toronto Blue Jays. Boston is coming off a strong series against the Guardians, taking 2 out of 3and outsourcing Cleveland 24-11. The same can’t be said for the Blue Jays, who dropped 2 of 3 against the Yankees while getting outscored 18-7. Toronto has now lost 7 of its last 8 games and things won’t get much easier as it gets ready to face a tough Red Sox team tonight.

Crochet will make his seventh start of the year. In that span, Crochet is 2-2 with a 1.95 ERA. He wasn’t himself in his last outing against the Mariners, giving up 4 earned runs on 5 hits in five innings pitched. For the Jays, Bowden Francis will take the mound. He is 2-3 with a 3.58 ERA in 5 starts this season. Bowden struggled in his last appearance against the Astros, giving up 3 earned runs on 8 hits in just 4.2 innings pitched. The Blue Jays are averaging 2.5 runs per game in their last 11, whereas the Sox are averaging 5.8 in their last 12. Toronto’s offense has fallen off, and Bowden probably won’t get much run support based on the way things have been trending. I don’t think Crochet will have any issues rebounding from his last start, which is why I expect the Red Sox to keep things rolling and steal a win on the road — making Boston on the money line my best bet of the day. 

Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction: Boston ML (-135) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Mets have been nearly unbeatable at home this season, opening with a 12-1 record at Citi Field. That makes this a tough spot for the Diamondbacks, but there are reasons to believe that they could be the value side in Tuesday’s opener. David Peterson gets the start for New York, and while he’s had strong surface results, there are some signs of regression ahead. Peterson is allowing a lot of hard contact and carries a WHIP of 1.43. The Diamondbacks, despite struggling slightly against lefties so far this year, were one of the league’s best last season and still show strong underlying metrics.

Eduardo Rodriguez starts for the D-backs and has been better than his 4.91 ERA suggests. His strikeout and walk numbers are strong, and he has endured some bad luck with runners on base. If that evens out, he could be in for a strong outing. Rodriguez is a pitch to contact and ground-ball type pitcher and he’ll look to do that against a red-hot Mets offense. The Mets just exploded for 19 runs in a game against Washington, but they have averaged just 4.23 runs at home and face a tougher test today. Citi Field has leaned toward the under (9-4 this season), and with 2 lefties on the mound and both pitchers capable of limiting damage, runs could be harder to come by.

Diamondbacks vs Mets prediction: New York Team Total Under 4.5 (-125) available at time of publishing. Playable to -140.

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The San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres open a quick 2-game series at Petco Park on Tuesday night. These National League West rivals have each started out the season well, with the Giants going 19-10 overall — including an impressive 10-6 record on the road. They are dead even with the Los Angeles Dodgers for first place, and surprisingly it’s the Giants who lead in the NL West with a plus-28 run differential. The Padres lurk not far behind at 17-11, although they have tailed off somewhat after a blistering hot start — especially at home. The Padres are still a very respectable 12-4 at Petco Park, but they have lost 4 of the past 5 games at home — including a stunning, low-scoring 3-game sweep at the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays.

The under has cashed in 5 straight games for San Diego, as the offense has managed 2 or fewer runs in 5 in a row. The under is 5-0 in the past 5 at home, too, while going 7-1 across the past 8 overall. Things don’t figure to get much better against Giants RHP Logan Webb, who trots in with an impressive 1.98 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 44 strikeouts across 36.1 innings in his 6 outings. The red-hot Nick Pivetta of San Diego isn’t likely to give up much, either. He has a sparkling 1.20 ERA and 0.77 WHIP across 30.0 innings in 5 starts. This should be an amazing pitchers’ duel.

Under 6.5 (-110) at time of publishing. Playable to -120.