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UFC Fight Night 292 Best Bets: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan
UFC

UFC Fight Night 292 Best Bets: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan

Matthew Lowrimore
Matthew LowrimoreAuthor
UpdatedOct 29, 2026
Reading time2 min

UFC Fight Night 292 is scheduled for Saturday, October 31st at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event will feature a UFC Lightweight Division fight between Renato Moicano and Tom Nolan as the main event. Below, I have my best bets for UFC Fight Night 292 -- both of which include fights on the main card.

In addition to my best bets for this event, be sure to check out all of our UFC Fight Night 292 predictions

UFC Fight Night 292 Best Bet: Tom Nolan ML over Renato Moicano (+110)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing. Playable to +110

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 292 will see Renato Moicano take on Tom Nolan. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight Division. Moicano enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-7-1 and 13-7 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.10 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Nolan enters this fight with an MMA record of 11-1 and 6-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.84 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Nolan absorbs 3.74 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%. He is a decent grappler, averaging 1.08 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.4 submission attempts during the same period. Nolan has a takedown accuracy of 26% and a takedown defense of 58%.

Moicano is the small favorite in this fight; however, Nolan looks to be the best betting option. Nolan has lost just once in the UFC but has won his last 5 UFC fights in a row. He also has the edge in striking volume and grappling ability, with his ability to force submissions. For that reason, backing Nolan to win in an upset will be our best bet.

Check out our full Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan prediction

UFC Fight Night 292 Best Bet: Cody Durden ML over Ode Osbourne (-118)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing. Playable to -118.

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 292 will see Ode Osbourne take on Cody Durden. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight Division. Durden comes into this fight with an MMA record of 18-11-1 and 7-9-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.27 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Durden is absorbing 3.89 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling has been his strongest area, averaging 3.82 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 48% and a takedown defense of 56%.

Durden is the slight favorite in this fight; however, he still looks to be the best betting option. By no means has either fighter been consistent in the UFC. That said, Durden is more balanced and has the advantage in striking and grappling. Because of this, backing Durden to win will be our play.

Check out our full Cody Durden vs. Ode Osbourne prediction