UFC 275: Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates Prediction for Today, 05/02/26

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 275 will see Jack Della Maddalena take on Carlos Prates. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Della Maddalena enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-3 and 9-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.57 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Della Maddalena absorbs 3.84 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 63%. His grappling has been non-existent, though, averaging just 0.13 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 10% and a takedown defense of 64%.

Prates enters this fight with an MMA record of 23-7 and 7-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.77 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. Prates is absorbing 4.53 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 47%. He has shown little grappling ability, averaging just 0.21 takedowns every 15 minutes. That said, he has a takedown accuracy of 100% and a takedown defense of 80%.

Prates is the small favorite in this fight; however, he still looks to be the best betting option. Della Maddalena does have the advantage in terms of striking volume, but Prates seems to have much more power, having won all of his UFC fights by finish. Further, neither fighter prefers to grapple, but Prates tends to be much more successful at it, with perfect takedown accuracy and a strong takedown defense. Ultimately, Prates’ power looks to be the difference in this fight; therefore, backing Prates to win will be our best bet.