UFC Fight Night 242: Jessica Andrade vs. Natalia Silva Predictions for Today, 09/07/24

The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 242 will see Jessica Andrade take on Natalia Silva. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Flyweight division. Andrade comes into this fight with an MMA record of 26-12 and 17-10 in the UFC. She is averaging 6.62 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Andrade is absorbing 5.37 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. Her grappling has also been solid, averaging 2.37 takedowns every 15 minutes. She has a takedown accuracy of 55% and her takedown defense is 72%.

Silva comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-5-1 and 5-0 in the UFC. She is averaging 4.53 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Silva is absorbing 2.10 strikes and has a striking defense of 65%. Her grappling is not nearly as good, averaging just 0.50 takedowns every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 28% and more importantly, her takedown defense is 91%.

Silva is a significant favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be targeting this fight to go the distance. Since joining the UFC, Silva has seen 3 of her 5 fights go the distance. Silva has also never lost by finish in the UFC and has not lost by finish since 2015. Andrade has more wins by decision in the UFC compared to any other method, therefore backing this fight to go the distance will be our lean.