UFC on ESPN 27: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Ian Heinisch Predictions

UFC on ESPN 27: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Ian Heinisch
Sat 7/24 6:00 ET
UFC on ESPN 27: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Ian Heinisch
UFC APEX

Pickswise's Expert Predictions & Analysis

Fight Prop Prediction
Fight to go the Distance - Yes
Odds
Bonus

Fight Prop Prediction

The fifth fight at UFC on ESPN 27 will see Nassourdine Imavov take on Ian Heinisch. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Imavov comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-3. He is 1-1 in the UFC, most recently losing to Phil Hawes by majority decision back in February of this year. Imavov is averaging 4.17 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 61 percent. He is absorbing 2.03 strikes and has a striking defense of 59 percent. His grappling is not the greatest, averaging 0.50 takedowns per every 15 minutes, but averaging 2.0 submission attempts during the same time period. The main issue is that his takedown accuracy is 12 percent, but his takedown defense still sits at 60 percent.

Heinisch comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-4. He is 4-3 in the UFC, most recently losing to Kelvin Gastelum by unanimous decision back in February of this year. Heinisch is averaging 3.28 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50 percent. He is absorbing 2.79 strikes and has a striking defense of 58 percent. His grappling also looks to be decent, averaging 1.18 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 18 percent, while his takedown defense sits at 60 percent.

This fight looks to be fairly even and I am expecting more of a stalemate. Heinisch has seen five of his seven UFC fights go the distance, while both of Imavov’s UFC fights have done the same. For that reason, I will lean to this fight going the full three rounds.

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