Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/09/26

I favor the under on the posted total through the first 5 innings of play in Thursday’s matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets. Arizona is set to start Eduardo Rodriguez for his 3rd start of the season, and his first 2 outings have been very strong. The veteran southpaw hurler was sharp in the World Baseball Classic, and he has carried that momentum over into the MLB regular season. His first outing resulted in 5 scoreless frames against the lethal Dodgers lineup. He followed that up with 7 more shutout innings against the Atlanta Braves. He hasn’t missed a ton of bats so far, but his pitch mix has kept opponents off balance, and his command has been terrific.

Nolan McLean is the scheduled starter for the Mets in Thursday’s game. New York lost McLean’s season debut against the Pirates, but the right-hander was solid in that outing with 5 innings of 2-run ball. He was effective against the Giants despite lacking his strikeout stuff, completing 5.1 innings of 1-earned run ball. As a rookie in 2025, McLean tossed 48 innings with a 2.06 ERA and 57 strikeouts along the way. Expectations are high for the right-hander in 2026 as he will play a key role in how far this team can go. I am a fan of his stuff, and his talent is evident when watching him on the screen. Look for a low scoring start to this game.

Diamondbacks vs Mets prediction: First 5 innings total under 4 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable to -125.

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