Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/14/26

This matchup has all the ingredients for a high-scoring game, and the number hasn’t fully caught up to what we’re seeing on the field. The Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies just opened this series with a 13-7 slugfest, combining for 20 runs and showing how quickly things can snowball offensively. That matters, because it highlights the volatility in both pitching staffs and the ability for each lineup to capitalize.

Looking at today’s probables, Aaron Nola takes the ball for Philadelphia, while Chicago counters with a less proven arm in Riley Martin. Nola has been solid but not dominant, carrying a mid-3 ERA with traffic allowed (1.10 WHIP), meaning baserunners will be there. That’s dangerous against a Cubs lineup that can string together hits and produce in bunches. On the other side, Martin remains a question mark, and asking him to navigate a Phillies lineup featuring power bats like Kyle Schwarber is a tall order—especially in a hitter-friendly environment. Both offenses have already shown they can erupt, and once bullpens get involved, scoring tends to accelerate.  Given the recent output, pitching uncertainty, and offensive upside on both sides, this game profiles well into double digits. Over 9.5 is the play.

Cubs vs Phillies prediction: Over 9.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.