Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 09/06/25

I lean towards the over on the posted total in Saturday’s matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Guardians. The posted total sits at 8.5 with the game being played in the minor league park in Tampa Bay, and I see an avenue for runs from both sides in this game. Shane Baz is set to start for the Rays marking his 28th start of the season. He did deliver 6 scoreless frames in the last trip to the mound, but his ERA still sit at 4.98 entering this game. At home he has been far worse with a 6.47 ERA in his 14 home starts.

Tanner Bibee is not in good form entering this game against the Rays, having allowed 4 or more runs in each of his last 8 starts made. With 9 home runs allowed in that span and weakened command of the strike zone in recent outings, a start on the road in the heat in a minor league park does not sounds like a recipe for success. Bibee has already been worse on the road this season with a 5.64 ERA in 83 road innings pitched.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians prediction: Over 8.5 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to -110 odds.

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