Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 09/14/25

I favor the over on the posted game total for Sunday’s matchup between the Atlanta Braves and Houston Astros. Neither starting pitcher in this matchup enters this game in good form and I expect runs scored from both sides. Framber Valdez is set to start this game for the Astros, marking his 29th start of the season for Houston. The southpaw has a 3.42 ERA in his 176.1 innings of work, but that ERA has spiked from 2.62 within his last 7 outings. In that stretch Valdez tossed 7 scoreless innings against the AAA level Rockies lineup, but his other 6 starts were far shakier. Those 6 starts combined for 28 earned runs with 3 more unearned runs crossing the plate. Valdez allowed 44 hits and 12 walks in those 35.1 innings of work, and I am not a fan of backing a pitcher in that type of form.

Joey Wentz is scheduled as the Braves starter for this game. Wentz is on his 3rd team of 2025, starting the season with the Pirates before joining Minnesota and then Atlanta. The southpaw is not as decorated as Valdez is on the other side, having struggled to find a steady role to this point in his career. He also enters this game in poor form, having allowed 12 total runs in 6.1 innings this month so far. Houston is looking to win a divisional crown and should be locked in at the plate for this matchup.

Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves prediction: Over 8.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -110 odds.