Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 05/24/25

The marquee series of the weekend continues on Saturday in New York as the Dodgers are set to take on the Mets in a game between a couple of World Series hopefuls at Citi Field. I targeted the over in Friday’s series opener, and a late Mets rally in the 9th inning sent the game over the total in what turned out to be one of the longest contests of the season to date. Following 13 innings of high-stakes baseball, both bullpens are pretty depleted and both offenses should be in position to succeed. With that in mind, given the potency of both lineups and the lack of rest for the high leverage arms in each bullpen, offense can certainly be expected in Saturday’s matchup.  

While the top of the order didn’t come through on Friday, the Mets offense is still the strength of their team, especially with David Peterson getting the start in this matchup. The southpaw’s numbers are solid on paper, but his advanced metrics (47.7% hard-hit rate, 3.99 xERA, bottom 20 percentile expected batting average and average exit velocity) do suggest that regression is coming sooner rather than later. Against a deep and experienced Dodgers lineup, I could certainly see Peterson struggling in this spot. As for the visitors, the Dodgers have been far from perfect on the mound, both in their starting rotation and bullpen. And while Tony Gonsolin (4.05 ERA, 10.7% walk rate) has been pretty decent for Dave Roberts’ team, he’ll be facing his toughest task yet against a Mets lineup (9th in OPS, 8th in on-base percentage & slugging) that doesn’t make things easy on opposing pitchers. All things considered, let’s back the over for the second straight day in New York. 

Dodgers vs Mets prediction: Over 8.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 8 (-120).

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