Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 09/16/25

The Miami Marlins head for the mountains to take on the Colorado Rockies for the first of a three-game set Tuesday night. RHP Eury Perez takes the ball for the Fish, looking to improve on his 6-5 record. While he has a winning mark, he also has a 4.67 ERA and 1.11 WHIP across 81 IP. He has been an absolute disaster lately, going 2-2 with a 7.84 ERA and 1.39 WHIP across 31 IP in the past seven starts, allowing 27 earned runs in the span. While he has amazing splits at home, posting a 2.63 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 37 2/3 IP in seven starts, he has a 6.44 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 43 1/3 IP in 10 road outings, while serving up all 11 of his homers on the road. Teams are hitting 59 points higher against him on the road, too.

For the Rockies, LHP Kyle Freeland makes the start. While he has a dismal 4-15 record and 4.97 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP on the season, the southpaw has shown signs of life lately, posting a 3.25 ERA and 1.28 WHIP across 36 IP in the past seven starts. The Rockies swept the Marlins June 2-4, all as an underdog, including a 3-2 win by Freeland in the series finale. Let’s roll with the Rockies to get the job done again, as Freeland has been better lately, and Perez is a disaster on the road.

Rockies ML (+130) at time of publishing. Playable to +120.