Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/05/26

The New York Yankees look terrific so far in 2026, jumping out to a 7-1 start. Their pitching has been excellent and so far in this series, their offense has impressed as well. New York has scored 17 runs through the first 2 games of this 3-game set. I look for that success to continue in a favorable matchup against Chris Paddack. Paddack is someone I have bet against the last 2 seasons when he was a starter for the Minnesota Twins, and his start to 2026 was poor as well. In 4 innings against a Chicago White Sox lineup, Paddack allowed 8 base hits, including 2 home runs, resulting in 8 earned runs surrendered. Both lefties and righties crushed Paddack last season, and I look for the Yankees offense to produce in this game.

Max Fried is the scheduled starter for New York, as the Yankee ace looks to make his 3rd start of the season already. His first 2 outings have been spectacular, resulting in 13.1 scoreless frames. Despite only 10 strikeouts in that sample Fried has been able to limit base runners and generate efficient outs. Miami is currently 3rd in wRC+ against left-handed pitching through 106 plate appearances, but their .329 BABIP is likely unsustainable moving forward. Fried also has a limited history against this Marlins lineup which should favor the pitcher at least the first time through the batting order. I favor the Yankees in this game and look for them to win by multiple runs.

Marlins vs Yankees prediction: NY Yankees -1.5 (-130) available at time of publishing. Playable to -135 odds.

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