Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/09/25

The Philadelphia Phillies hand the ball to RHP Aaron Nola for Friday’s interleague series opener at Progressive Field against the Cleveland Guardians. It has been a surprisingly trying season for the 31-year-old right-hander, as he is 1-5 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 7 starts. Nola is 0-3 with a 4.56 ERA with 4 homers allowed in 23.2 innings across 4 road starts, too. He showed some signs of life with a quality start and his first win last time out at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he has back-to-back quality starts. Perhaps Nola is starting to turn things around, but until he does then let’s keep going high.

For the Guardians, RHP Gavin Williams toes the slab for the home side. Williams is 2-2 with an unseemly 5.06 ERA and 1.75 WHIP, and he has managed just 1 quality start in his 7 assignments. His most recent home appearance was a disaster, lasting just 2.0 innings with 4 runs, 7 hits and 2 walks in a 61-pitch loss to the Minnesota Twins. He has served up at least 1 homer in each of his past 4 outings, too, with 5 long-balls in total. With Nola’s overall struggles and Williams being pretty terrible all season, let’s go high — especially at even money.

Phillies vs Guardians prediction: Over 8 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to -120.

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