Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/07/26

With Monday’s loss to the Rangers, the Seattle Mariners have now lost 3 straight in the division and 5 of the last 6 overall. The M’s managed just 1 run and 2 hits in the loss, with Jacob deGrom taking care of business by striking out 6 and allowing just 2 base runners in 5 innings. Seattle’s Logan Gilbert threw 6 innings and struck out 5 while allowing 6 baserunners. It was a solid outing in that he held the Rangers to just 2 runs, but it wasn’t enough due to Seattle’s lack of run support. 

Game 2 of this divisional series pits George Kirby against Nathan Eovaldi. Kirby struggled in his last start, yielding 4 earned runs, 5 hits and 3 walks to the Yankees last week. That came on the heels of a sterling 6-inning performance against the Guardians in which he allowed just 1 run, struck out 6, walked 2 and gave up 2 hits. Meanwhile, Eovaldi has been really bad, giving up 11 combined earned runs in his 2 starts, as well as 16 hits. He failed to last 5 full innings in either start, while his barrel rate and hard-hit rate are through the roof right now. 

In his career, the current Seattle lineup is only hitting .195 against Eovaldi, but his current form is too difficult for me to trust despite the solid matchup splits. Kirby has been much better at inducing ground balls and weak contact so far this season, so let’s ride with the Mariners to snap the losing streak in this one.

Mariners vs Rangers prediction: Seattle Mariners ML (-116) at the time of publishing. Playable to -125.

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