Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/03/26

The inconsistent Miami Heat have alternated wins and losses over their last 5 games as they prepare to host the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday night. If the trend continues, Miami will be in line for a loss — as it most recently picked up a win over Chicago on Sunday. Of course, we don’t even need the Hawks to win outright; we simply need them to keep it relatively close. And that’s exactly what the visitors should be able to do in this Southeast Division matchup. As such, my Hawks vs Heat pick is on Atlanta to cover. In addition to playing mediocre basketball at best, Miami may also be fatigued. Tuesday night’s contest marks the end of a ridiculous stretch in which the Heat are playing 5 games in 7 days.

Atlanta, on the other hand, is playing on 2 full days of rest and this is just its second game in the span of 5 days. The Hawks are finally healthy, too; only Kristaps Porizingis is sidelined right now. Jalen Johnson delivered another triple-double (33 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists) on Saturday and should be playing with vigor on this one after being named an all-star for the first time on Sunday. It is validation for what has been an absolutely outstanding season being turned in by the Duke product. It should also be noted that Atlanta is a solid 15-13 on the road compared to a woeful 9-14 at home. There is no reason why Johnson and company can’t be competitive in South Beach.

Hawks vs Heat prediction: Atlanta +5.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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