Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/22/26

It will be a potential NBA Finals preview when the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday afternoon. Right now, however, Oklahoma City does not resemble the championship team from last year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdominal) is out for at least another week and Jalen Williams (hamstring) is not particularly close to returning. The Thunder are still in decent enough form with 3 wins in their last 4 games, but they are also just 6-6 in their last 12. Given OKC’s current malaise and the extremely tough competition level on store for Sunday, my Cavaliers vs Thunder pick is for the visitors to win and cover.

Cleveland is in spectacular form at the moment. Donovan Mitchell and company are 12-1 in their last 13 games and they are undefeated in 5 outings since acquiring James Harden prior to the trade deadline. Harden is shooting 49.1 percent from the floor, 48.1 percent from deep and 89.3 percent from the free-throw line with his new team. Evan Mobley was rested for Friday’s victory over Charlotte, so the big man will be in good shape for this much more important showdown against the defending NBA champs. Meanwhile, Mitchell has scored 30 points or more in 4 of the last 5 contests. The Cavs simply have a ton of weapons — especially with Harden now on board. When healthy, Oklahoma City has as many if not even more. For the time being, though, that is not the case. Cleveland is solid on the road (17-10 SU overall, 7-3 ATS in its last 10 on the road), so it won’t be afraid of going into OKC.

Cavaliers vs Thunder prediction: Cleveland -1 (-108) available at time of publishing. Playable to -2.

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