Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/22/26

The Dallas Mavericks pull into Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis with a little momentum, covering as a 14-point underdog in Minneapolis on Friday. Dallas has lost 10 in a row, while going 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in the past six games, and 3-7 ATS across the previous 10 outings. The Under has cashed in the past two games, and the total has gone low at a 6-4 clip in the past 10 games. On the road, the Under is 6-2 in the past eight games, too.

For the Pacers, they dropped back-to-back games in the nation’s capital against the Washington Wizards, while failing to cover either game, while splitting the Over-Under. Indiana has struggled defensively, allowing 118 or more points in six of the past nine outings. The Under is 10-6 in the past 16 games at home for Indiana. The Under also cashed in the first meeting this season on Oct. 29 in the Metroplex, with the Mavericks coming away with a 107-105 win, while the Pacers cashed as a 6-point underdog. It’s too hard to handicap a winning side in this one, so we’ll go with the Under based on the trends of Dallas on the road, and the result of the first meeting.

Under 232.5 (-105) at time of publishing. Playable to 231.5.