Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/27/25

It will be a battle between 2 disappointing teams outside the playoff cut line in the Western Conference when the Sacramento Kings entertain the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday night. The value is on Sacramento as the underdog, so my Mavericks vs Kings prediction is for the home side to cover. When the Mavs improbably won the 2025 NBA Draft lottery, they had grandiose designs of a Big 3 featuring Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving and Cooper Flagg. That is not how the story has played out, however — at least not yet. Irving (knee) has not yet played this season and Davis is questionable for Saturday with an adductor injury. Davis left his team’s Christmas Day loss to Golden State with an apparent groin injury, so the veteran big man is simply banged up in multiple ways these days. What’s new?!?!

Although there are not a whole lot of good things to say about the Kings, at least they are playing at home. Sactown is 4-10 at the Golden 1 Center compared to 3-13 on the road. That’s not saying much; but it’s something. More importantly, the Mavs are horrendous on the road (3-10) compared to a somewhat respectable 9-9 home record. Zach LaVine and Keegan Murray are sidelined, so this more of a fade of Dallas than it is in support of Sacramento. Give me the points, but proceed with caution until Davis’ status is confirmed.

Mavericks vs Kings prediction: Sacramento +3 (-108) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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