Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/05/25

Jamal Murray going off is the best thing that could have happened to the Denver Nuggets right now. A 52-point explosion from the point guard set a new season high and propelled the Nuggets to an impressive 135-120 win to open this 4-game road trip. Next up are the Atlanta Hawks, another team that likes to run and score a lot, so the Nuggets will have to be on top of their game offensively here. The oddsmakers have a lot of trust in this team despite a couple of really important pieces in Gordon and Braun out injured right now. Denver opened as an 8.5 point favorite here, and since then, that number has gone down to 6.5 points — indicating a lot of action on the home team.

Speaking of the home team, the Hawks look to recover from a 115-92 loss to the Clippers, their 2nd in a row. Jalen Johnson getting pulled hours before tip didn’t do us bettors any favors, but the good news is he is expected in the lineup for Friday’s game. Kristaps Porzingis could also make a return, as he hasn’t played in 10 days due to an illness. At just 4-5 SU the Hawks have had their issues in home games this season, and they’ve covered the spread just 3 times in 10 games at State Farm Arena. I just don’t know how Atlanta solves the Jokic problem here, as the Hawks have surrendered 56 points per game in the paint over their last 3 games. For comparison, the last ranked team in the league this season is Sacramento, who allows 55.9 per game.

I have to stick with the hot hand of Jamal Murray and his Nuggets here. They are 9-2 SU on the road, plus, against the Hawks, they’re a flawless 5-0 ATS/SU over the last 5 meetings. Nikola Jokic’s last 2 games have seen him total 71 points, 31 rebounds and 23 assists against this team, they clearly don’t have an answer for him.

Nuggets vs Hawks Predictions: Denver Nuggets -6.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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