Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/11/26

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The number 3 seed is seemingly on the line this Wednesday as the Rockets head to Denver for a date with Nikola Jokic and his Nuggets. It’s a damn shame Houston is playing on a 2nd night of a back-to-back here, that could hinder them a bit against a tough opponent like Denver. But, after winning the most recent meeting between the two sides by 14 points and keeping the other two games really close, I don’t think the Rockets will be discouraged entering this game. They are a solid 6-3 SU in 9 games overall, while on the road they’ve won 7 of their last 10.

Jokic and co. have had their fair share of issues lately, they’ve won just 4 of their last 10 games which has raised a lot of questions over their contender status. And it’s not like this team is bad or anything, it’s their inability to stay healthy that’s hindered them for the most part this season. Aaron Gordon’s comeback is a much needed injection of quality on both ends, he just had a solid game vs the Thunder scoring 23 points and collecting 10 rebounds. He has appeared in only 25 games this season, it might take the Nuggets a while to re-integrate him into their schemes.

And that’s where the Rockets could have the edge in Wednesday’s game. Denver’s defense has been suspect all season long – in just their last 3 games we’ve seen opponents shoot almost 43% from downtown. Not a good sign against a team like the Rockets who rank 7th in 3-point percentage hit season. Despite them playing their 2nd game in two nights, I’ll side with the Rockets and the extra points here.

Rockets vs Nuggets prediction: Rockets +5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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