Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/29/26

The Houston Rockets host the New Orleans Pelicans in a Western Conference matchup that contrasts Houston’s defensive consistency with New Orleans’ volatility. The Rockets have been strong this season, anchored by a top 10 defensive rating and a +4.9 net rating, allowing them to control games through rebounding and physicality. Kevin Durant leads the offense with 24.8+ points per game, while Alperen Sengun adds 9.4 rebounds and 7.1 assists, giving Houston a versatile offensive structure. They also lead the league in offensive rebounding percentage, consistently generating second chance opportunities that swing possessions in their favor.

The New Orleans Pelicans bring a more inconsistent profile, averaging 115.5 points per game but allowing 120.0, one of the weaker defensive marks in the league. Zion Williamson leads the way with 21.7 points per game, supported by Trey Murphy III, but defensive struggles continue to limit their ceiling. Recent meetings have been competitive, including a 119-110 Houston win, a 133-128 Pelicans win, and a 107-105 Rockets victory, all showing relatively tight margins. While Houston has advantages in defense and rebounding, New Orleans has enough offensive firepower to stay within range, and the trend of close games between these teams suggests another competitive contest.

Rockets vs Pelicans Prediction: Pelicans +6 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +5