Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/07/26

The Houston Rockets hit the road to battle the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder in matinee action on ABC Saturday afternoon. The Rockets are just 14-13 on the road this season, while the Thunder are 22-4 at home. OKC has won the first 2 meetings in this series this season, although the road team is 2-0 against the spread in both meetings so far. OKC pounded Houston 111-91 at Toyota Center on Jan. 15, easily covering as a 4.5-point favorite and snapping a 3-0 ATS run in the series by the Rockets.

Houston enters with consecutive losses while going 0-4 ATS in the past 4 outings. The Rockets are also a dismal 1-6 ATS in the past 7 games and 4-15 ATS in the past 19 outings. Oklahoma City is coming off a 116-106 loss as a 10-point underdog at San Antonio last time out. The Spurs have been kryptonite to the Thunder all season long. OKC will be without MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander due to an abdominal strain, while the Rockets are without Steven Adams (ankle). While it certainly looks bad for the Thunder without their star, OKC should still be able to gut out a victory on its home court — but confidence is much lower than it would be with SGA on the court, obviously.

Rockets vs Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City -2.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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