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Hello Millions
Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/22/25

TD GardenFDSNIN, NBCSB
Pacers
Pacers
Today
Celtics
Celtics
WLLLL
Last 5
WLLWW
6-22Record17-11
14-14-0ATS Record18-10-0
11-17O/U Record14-14
Boston Celtics

Pacers vs Celtics Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
IND Pacers +10.0(-110)

This is a classic case of market inflation driven by reputation rather than reality. Boston at home against a struggling Indiana squad feels like an easy Celtics click, which is exactly why the number has ballooned. When bettors back the Celtics, they are not just betting basketball — they are betting the logo, the narrative and Boston’s perceived dominance.

Indiana’s 6-22 record is ugly, but that’s the point. Poor teams are often priced as if they’re incapable of competing, even when the matchup doesn’t justify such a large spread. The Pacers don’t need to be good to be profitable today — they simply need to stay competitive enough to cash a generous number. Boston is still the better team and may very well win this game comfortably. However, covering double-digits is a different challenge — especially against a team playing with nothing to lose. Blowout assumptions are dangerous when lines are this inflated. Any late-game variance, bench minutes, or reduced urgency from Boston opens the door for Indiana to hang around the number. This is a value-based play, not an endorsement of Indiana’s quality. When perception pushes a spread too far, the sharp side is taking the points — and that’s exactly the case here.

Pacers vs Celtics prediction: Indiana +10 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Napier Montgomery
Photo of Napier Montgomery

Napier Montgomery

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.
Read more about Napier Montgomery

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Money Line

The Celtics have won 4 of their last 5 games at home against Eastern Conference teams.

Game Totals

The Celtics' last 3 games versus the Pacers have gone over the Total.

1st Half Point Spread

The Celtics are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 home games.

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