Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/21/26

Olivier Maxence Prosper scored 23 points to lead Memphis to a big win over the Utah Jazz in their first game post All-Star break. Don’t worry if you aren’t familiar with Prosper’s game, the Grizzlies are relying mostly on their lesser known players these days after deciding to trade away JJJ and tank the rest of this season. Saturday sees them travel to South Beach for a date with the Miami Heat, at a venue they’ve triumphed in 4 of their last 5 visits. Interestingly enough the Grizzlies are 8-4 SU over the last 12 meetings as well, but most of those wins came in years prior when the Grizz were actually competitive.

Miami celebrated the return of Tyler Herro from injury in a big way as they destroyed the Atlanta Hawks last night 128-97 on the road. It was their 2nd consecutive win and 3rd in four games, Heat fans are hoping they can now go on a run as we enter the final 25 or so games of the regular season. The 76ers in 6th are just 1 game ahead, even the Toronto Raptors in 5th aren’t too far away and a bad week or so by either one of those teams could flip the Heat’s situation dramatically. So it’s important to continue winning, especially against teams that aren’t really trying to do so. Miami has covered in 4 of 5 home games, they’re also 5-2 SU in 7 games vs Southwest Division teams.

Playing on a 2nd night of a back-to-back shouldn’t discourage potential Miami Heat bettors here – the Heat have won 9 of 13 such games this season, including their last 3 games in a row. Memphis isn’t going anywhere with this group, they’ve won only once in 11 road games. I’ll go with the Heat in this one.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Predictions: Heat -9.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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