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Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/22/25

Paycom CenterPeacock
Grizzlies
Grizzlies
Today
Thunder
Thunder
WLWWL
Last 5
WWLWL
13-15Record25-3
13-14-1ATS Record15-13-0
10-18O/U Record15-13
Oklahoma City Thunder

Grizzlies vs Thunder Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
MEM Grizzlies +16.5(-110)

The Thunder deserve every bit of praise they are getting. Undefeated at home, elite efficiency on both ends of the floor and firmly established as the team to beat — all of that is true. The problem for bettors is that the market knows it, too. Oklahoma City’s dominance has been fully priced in, pushing spreads into territory that becomes increasingly difficult to justify.

This is one of those spots. Laying 16.5 points in the NBA isn’t just about being better — it requires sustained focus, clean rotations and often a willingness to keep starters engaged deep into the game. That’s a tall order against any team. Memphis has fallen apart this season and offers little public appeal. That lack of interest is precisely what inflates numbers like this. The Grizzlies don’t need to be competitive for four quarters; they simply need to avoid a complete collapse. Garbage-time variance, bench minutes, or even a slight easing of intensity from OKC can quickly bring a number like this back into range. This is a classic price-based play. Oklahoma City may win comfortably, but at this altitude, the spread becomes unplayable. The value lies in taking the points and trusting the math.

Grizzlies vs Thunder prediction: Memphis +16.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +16.

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Napier Montgomery
Photo of Napier Montgomery

Napier Montgomery

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.
Read more about Napier Montgomery
Top Trends
Point Spread

The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Game Totals

The Over is 4-1 in the Thunder's last 5 home games.

Money Line

The Thunder have won 14 straight games against the Grizzlies.

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