Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 01/04/26

The return of Giannis has sparked a run of 3 wins in 4 games for the Bucks, but on Sunday they head to Sacramento with their superstar questionable to play. The Greek Freak is dealing with a calf issue, which has been a league wide problem this season. Knowing what’s at stake for Milwaukee here, it would be foolish to risk the health of their best player, so I do not believe we will see Antetokounmpo out there on Sunday. This makes it difficult to recommend backing the Bucks to cover here, especially since we know they are just 1-6 ATS in 7 games vs Western Conference opponents.

Sacramento knows a thing or two about injuries, they’ve been derailed by them for the last month or so with Zach LaVine and Domantas Sabonis both being out. There is good news on the horizon though as LaVine has been upgraded to a game-time decision, his presence would drastically improve the Kings offense. Defensively, this team just doesn’t have it regardless who is out there on the basketball floor. The last 5 games have seen them allow 120+ points, they are the 4th worst team in defensive efficiency this season allowing 117.1 points per 100 possessions.

With us not knowing exactly if Giannis or LaVine will play here, it’s hard to get a good read on the outcome here. Instead, I feel like backing the points is the way to go. This has been a lopsided game in terms of points scored lately, an average of 251.7 points per game has been scored in the last 10 meetings with the over cashing 8 times. Do not expect a lot of defense to be played here, take the points.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings Predictions: Over 228.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable up to Over 231.5

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