HomeNBANBA PredictionsMinnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds and Game 4 Picks

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds and Game 4 Picks for Today, 05/12/25

Updated: 5:09 AM ET May 12, 2025

Chase CenterESPN

Timberwolves

10:00 PM ETToday

Warriors

WWLWW	Last 5	LWWLL
2-1	Record	1-2
45-44-1	ATS Record	46-45-1
46-44	O/U Record	40-52

Vote on who will cover the spread!

Timberwolves vs Warriors Pickswise Expert Predictions

NBA

Point Spread Pick

GS Warriors +5.5(-110)MIN Timberwolves @ GS Warriors

Reasoning

The Minnesota Timberwolves will be looking to take a commanding 3-1 lead in their Western Conference semifinal series against the Golden State Warriors when the 2 teams meet again for Game 4 on Monday night at Golden State. After the Warriors took the opener in Minnesota, the landscape of the series shifted completely when Steph Curry was diagnosed with a Grade 1 hamstring strain. Curry is out for Monday’s contest and could miss the rest of the series. Given that the Warriors have had Curry on the floor for 13 total minutes this series, it has to be said that the Timberwolves have been entirely unimpressive in the early stages of this best-of-7 set. Minnesota won Game 2 comfortably, but it lost Game 1 by double-digits and Game 3 was pretty much neck-and-neck the whole way until the last 2 minutes after Draymond Green fouled out on a questionable call. I’m not giving 5.5 points with Minnesota on the road, so my Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction is for Golden State to cover.

Jimmy Butler and Buddy Hield have been stepping up throughout the playoffs. Butler scored 33 points on Saturday while Hield went 4-for-8 from three-point range. Hield is 13-for-25 from distances in this series — all of this on the heels of a blistering 9-for-11 performance from long range in Game 7 at Houston. The former Oklahoma star is simply on fire right now, so he and Butler alone could be enough to keep the home team competitive. Moreover, you have to think Green (2 points) and Brandin Podziemski (1-for-10 from the floor) can’t be any more inept than they were in Game 3 — and Golden State still almost won. I’m not saying the Warriors are going to win this one outright, either, but the value is on them as considerable underdogs.

Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction: Golden State +5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Ricky Dimon

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

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Same Game Parlay

Point Spread

GS Warriors +5.5

Player Points

B. Hield (GS) - Over 13.5 pts

Player to Record a Double-Double

J. Randle (MIN) to record a Double-Double

Reasoning

Golden State Warriors +5.5 over Minnesota Timberwolves (-112)

I’m not willing to back Golden State on the money line, but head coach Steve Kerr’s team should at least be able to keep this one close. It’s hard to be overly impressed with the Timberwolves so far. They lost Game 1 by double-digits even though Curry played only 13 minutes and they did not pull away in Game 3 until the final 2 minutes once Draymond Green fouled out on a questionable call. Yes, the T-Wolves were by far the better side in Game 2 – but that was at the Target Center. I expect Golden State to be competitive in the friendly confines of the Chase Center.

Hield and Jimmy Butler have been stepping up in a big way for the Dubs – they were already doing that even when Curry was playing. Those 2 guys alone could be enough for the Warriors to be competitive on Monday. You also have to think that Green (2 points) and Brandin Podziemski (1-for-10 from the field) will be a lot better than they were in Game 3.

Buddy Hield Over 13.5 points (-122)

From a scoring standpoint, Butler and Hield really have to pick up the slack in Curry’s absence. Hield, especially, needs to provide a three-point shooting threat with Curry on the sidelines and that is exactly what he has been doing. The former Oklahoma standout is 13-for-25 from three-point range in this series after going 4-for-8 from the land of plenty on Saturday. Hield’s hot streak dates back to round 1 against the Rockets, whom he torched to the tune of a 9-for-11 effort in Game 7. The 32-year-old scored at least 15 points in 3 of the last 5 outings against Houston, including 33 in the clincher. He has contributed 14 points or more in all 3 contests against Minnesota, including 24 in Game 1.

Julius Randle to record a double-double (+200)

Randle delivered a triple-double in Game 3 (24 points, 12 assists, 10 rebounds), so asking him to simply produce a double-double on Monday should not be too much. The Kentucky product has recorded a double-double in each of the past 2 contests, having finished with 24 points and 11 assists last Thursday. This actually doesn’t contradict the Warriors +5.5 leg all that much because Randle will log more minutes if his squad is locked in a competitive game. Golden State kept it close from start to finish in Game 3 and Randle stayed on the floor for 40 minutes – 7 more than in Game 2, which was mostly a lopsided affair.

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Ricky Dimon

Pickswise Expert Prop Picks

Player Steal+Blocks Pick

J. McDaniels (MIN) - Over 2.5 STLs+BLKs(+128)

Reasoning

Jaden McDaniels has been a defensive menace for the Minnesota Timberwolves so far this series, averaging 2 blocks per game along with 1.3 assists. He has also hit the over on this line in 2 of the 3 games. The steals have been a consistent factor against the Golden State Warriors this season, with him also averaging 1.3 during the regular season. With his opponents finishing the regular season 24th in opponent blocks per game, those opportunities should be there tonight too.

The Warriors are also in a more vulnerable position now. With Steph Curry being out, their offense has to readjust to functioning without him. It also leaves them increasingly trying to feed the ball down to Jimmy Butler, who becomes the number-one option on the team. Both of these factors can lead to increased mistakes — ones that McDaniels is well equipped to collect in the form of steals and blocks.

Germantas Kneita

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Timberwolves vs Warriors Same Game Parlay

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Point Spread

The Warriors are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games as an underdog.

Money Line

The Timberwolves have won 4 of their last 5 games against teams with winning records.

Game Totals

The Timberwolves' last 4 road games have stayed Under the total.

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