Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/10/26

After a long battle with the San Antonio Spurs, the OKC Thunder have finally secured the number 1 seed in the Western Conference. OKC’s win over the Clippers was their 7th in a row, the lead is now 3 games ahead of the Spurs with just two games remaining. That likely means the Thunder will rest most of their key players in order to get ready for the postseason. It’s exactly what this team needs following a season of uncertainty on the injury front. Although they are one of the deepest teams in the league, the oddsmakers still have them as double-digit underdogs on Friday against the Nuggets. They’ve covered just twice in 8 meetings against this team and only once in 5 visits to Ball Arena.

For the Nuggets this game means everything as they are still not 100% safe in the 3rd seed. The good news is they control their own destiny and if they can win the remaining two games they’ll finish 3rd and face the Minnesota Timberwolves in the 1st Round of the Playoffs. Jokic and co. have won 10 games in a row which is the longest active win streak in the NBA. Although the defense has not performed up to the level their fans hoped it would, this team has absolutely destroyed opponents on the offensive end during this win streak. Denver has posted an offensive rating of 128.2 in the last 10 games, that’s 3.1 points more than the Thunder who are in 2nd.

The Nuggets Net Rating during the win streak is at 9.6 points, they’ll look to take out their frustrations on this team after OKC took the first 3 meetings of the season earlier. They too have a bunch of players on the injury report, but with everything still left to play for I think we’ll see a full line-up from Denver here. Back the home team.

OKC Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Predictions: Nuggets -10.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.