HomeNBANBA PredictionsOklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds and Picks

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/29/26

Updated: 9:42 AM ET Jan 29, 2026

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Thunder

9:40 PM ETToday

Timberwolves

WWLLW	Last 5	LLLWW
38-10	Record	29-19
23-25-0	ATS Record	21-26-0
24-24	O/U Record	22-25

Thunder vs Timberwolves Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick

MIN Timberwolves +6.0(-110)

Reasoning

This matchup carries history, but the betting angle is rooted in present-day pricing, not past playoff outcomes. Oklahoma City earned its reputation by overpowering Minnesota in a prior postseason run, and that championship glow still travels with them. The market respects that — maybe a little too much. When an elite team becomes the standard, spreads often reflect brand strength as much as game-to-game matchup dynamics.

Minnesota’s role here is straightforward: stay within the natural flow of the game. They’ve already proven capable of competing with OKC in the regular season, especially at home where their defensive energy and physicality tend to rise a notch. The Timberwolves don’t need to match the Thunder’s highlight stretches; they need to control rebounds and force Oklahoma City into longer half-court possessions. This is something that they can do and that alone compresses margin. There’s also a familiarity element. Teams that have seen each other repeatedly (especially in meaningful games), adjust more quickly and avoid the kind of early avalanches that blow spreads open. OKC may still be the league’s benchmark, but being the benchmark often inflates expectations of separation. Minnesota doesn’t have to be better for 48 minutes. They just need to be competitive throughout, and their home profile plus matchup familiarity gives them a realistic path to stay inside the number, with an outright upside not out of question.

Thunder vs Timberwolves prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves +6 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to the number.

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College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.

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Game Totals

The Timberwolves' last 3 against the Thunder have stayed under the Total.

Point Spread

The Thunder have failed to cover in 3 straight games as a favorite.

Money Line

The Timberwolves have won 7 of their last 10 home games.

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