Oklahoma City Thunder vs New York Knicks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/04/26

SGA opted to sit last night’s OKC game at Chicago, the Thunder still won by 8 points despite shooting 24% from three and getting outrebounded 53-51 on the glass. With the MVP back tonight, those type of numbers cannot happen again, a team like the Knicks is far too experienced to lose a game when the opponent shoots like that. The defending champs have had the edge in head-to-head meetings winning 7 of the last 8, they are also on a 7-game win streak at Madison Square Garden. It’s been 7 games since the Thunder shot 50% from the field in a game, with their 2nd best player Jalen Williams they’ll have to be on top of their game to beat the Knicks here.

Unlike the Thunder who are 3-7 SU in back-to-back scenarios this season, the Knicks have a winning record of 6-4 SU in 10 such games. Brunson and co. will be encouraged after yet another dominant win over the Toronto Raptors last night as they cruised to a 4-game regular season sweep 111-95. The fact that only Brunson logged more than 32 mins from all the Knicks players should also help, fatigue could very well be a factor when you have a match-up between two teams playing with no rest. Another factor to consider here is the Knicks advantage in the rebounding department where they rank 6th for rebounds allowed, compared to the Thunder who are 25th. New York also has the better perimeter defense, being in the tier in terms of opponent three-point percentage while the Thunder are all the way down in 24th.

It takes a lot of courage to bet against the champs, especially when they’re on a 7-game win streak. But, after seeing what the Knicks did to the Spurs last Sunday at home, I have a lot of trust in this team. SGA, Hartenstein and Ajay Mitchell are all questionable to play, while Jalen Williams is out. The Knicks are only without Miles McBridge, I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt and back an outright home win here.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New York Knicks Predictions: Knicks ML is available at +155 odds at time of publishing.