Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/07/26

With back-to-back wins over Washington and Dallas optimism is back among the Magic ranks, however beating a bunch of tanking teams won’t hide all the flaws this team has been having lately. Orlando is a bottom 5 rebounding team in the NBA over the past 10 games, also ranking in the lower tier when it comes to true shooting and effective field goal percentage. Not having Franz Wagner is a major handicap offensively, Paolo Banchero and Desmond Bane have been taking turns leading the way scoring the ball. Saturday sees the Magic head to Target Center for a date with Minnesota – they’ve actually had a lot of success in head-to-head meetings from a betting perspective, covering in 15 of the last 18 games.

Anthony Edwards and his Timberwolves have been heating up ever since the All-Star break. They’ve now won five games in a row, with Edwards putting up MVP like numbers. All five wins have been by single digits, which tells us the character of this team is very strong in clutch situations. The oddsmakers have set the line at 5.5 points here, enough to make us think twice if it’s a good idea to back the Timberwolves to cover here. They’ve not been a good bet this season in home games, going just 14-19 ATS. Their last 7 games have seen them cover only twice, however they did sweep the regular season vs Orlando last year winning by 7 and 15 points.

If there’s one constant we’ve seen with the T’Wolves this season it’s their ability to win games with their defense. The under has cashed 22 times in 33 games at Target Center, the Timberwolves rank 10th in defense over the past 10 games played. Orlando is 7th during this stretch, the last 10 meetings between the two sides have seen an average of 217.9 points per game. I’ll stick with the trends and back the under here.

Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves Predictions: Under 226.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.