HomeNBANBA PredictionsSacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Odds and Picks

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/23/26

Updated: 10:19 AM ET Jan 23, 2026

Rocket ArenaNBCSCA, FDSNOH

Kings

7:40 PM ETToday

Cavaliers

WWLLL	Last 5	LWWLW
12-30	Record	25-20
17-26-1	ATS Record	16-28-1
21-23	O/U Record	21-24

Kings vs Cavaliers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick

SAC Kings +11.5(-110)

Reasoning

Big spreads are less about who wins and more about whether the favorite can create margin for 48 minutes. Cleveland can absolutely win this game and it should — but this specific price point (double digits) has been the Cavs’ problem area. On an interesting note, Cleveland has been favored in this range 8 times and covered only once, which is exactly the profile you want to target — even if that means you have to back the Kings. There is key context as to why the Cavs struggle to make the long swim back. The Cavaliers are a team that lives and dies by their offense, most notably, their ability to dial up from downtown. On a good night, Cleveland can bury you. On a bad one? They can get beat by anyone, including this lowly Sacramento team.

Sacramento’s cover route is simple and repeatable: Cleveland doesn’t shoot lights out from beyond the arc. Variance can do the heavy lifting. At a number this inflated, not much variance is required to get the Kings to the window. If the Kings can avoid turnovers and play smart, they don’t need to outplay Cleveland to be in position— they just need to avoid a fireworks show from the Cavs which can lead to the cover taking care of itself. It is also worth pointing out that much of this is about fading optics. The Kings have won just 3 games on the road this year, and they are 12-33 overall. That almost certainly means that Sacramento will be taking back an inflated number here since they are in a spot where bettors will be avidly against them. Against a team like the Cavaliers, who are anchored by a style of offense that is a cold night away from mediocrity, we’ll take our chances on the heavy allotment of points. The Kings can come in under this number, contrary to popular opinion.

Kings vs Cavaliers prediction: Sacramento Kings +11.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to the +11.

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Show Bio

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.

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Game Totals

4 of the Kings' last 5 road games have gone over the Total.

Point Spread

The Kings have failed to cover in their last 4 games on the road.

Money Line

The Kings have lost 3 games in a row.

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