Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/26/26

Just one game after ending their long losing streak, the Sacramento Kings are back in to loss column. They didn’t stand much of a chance against the Houston Rockets, losing by 31 points in the end. Russell Westbrook was the only bright spot with 22 points and 5 rebounds, playing the Dallas Mavericks will be a much easier task for Russ and co. to get a rare win. In 31 road games the Kings have celebrated only 4 times, however against the Mavs they have a positive run of 4 wins in 6 meetings. From a bettors’ perspective backing the Kings to cover has yielded a profit 8 times in 12 meetings, including 5 of the last 6 in Dallas.

Back-to-back road wins over Indiana and Brooklyn would normally be considered a good thing, but not for the Mavericks. The Mavs are one of the tanking teams in the Western Conference, but from time to time they’ll run into opponents who are in an even worse state than them and it’ll result in wins. This team is currently without several key players, including Cooper Flagg who is still out with a foot problem. At home they’ve lost 5 games in a row, while against Western Conference opponents they’re 0-8 SU in 8 such games. This team’s biggest weakness lies in the painted area – they rank 30th in opponent points inside the paint, allowing 55.5 per game.

These two have split the regular season series so far, Thursday’s game will be the 3rd and final meeting. Neither side is motivated to win, with so many players out injury it could be anyone’s game. That being said, I feel like the Kings should be able to expose the interior issues the Mavs have on defense here. Slashers like Westbrook and DeRozan should have an easy time finding their way to the basket. I’ll give the Kings the benefit of the doubt and back them to cover.

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions: Kings +7 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.