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Hello Millions
Utah Jazz

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/22/25

Ball ArenaKJZZ, ALT
Jazz
Jazz
Today
Nuggets
Nuggets
LWWLL
Last 5
WWWWL
10-17Record20-7
16-11-0ATS Record16-11-0
18-9O/U Record18-9

Vote on who will win!

Denver Nuggets

Jazz vs Nuggets Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick
Under 247.5(-110)

Utah’s recent high-scoring games have created a perception that every Jazz matchup must be played at breakneck pace. As a result, the number has been pushed into rare air, approaching 250 points — a threshold that requires near-perfect offensive execution from both sides.

The flaw in that assumption is matchup-specific. Denver is uniquely equipped to disrupt Utah’s offensive rhythm. The Nuggets can control pace, limit transition opportunities and force Utah to make mistakes. If the Jazz are held even modestly below their recent output, this total becomes extremely difficult to reach. Yes, Denver has the league’s most efficient offense and is fully capable of putting up a massive number. But context matters. With a trip to Dallas tomorrow and then a Christmas Day matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves looming, there’s little incentive for Denver to extend starters or push tempo deep into the game. A comfortable win achieved through control rather than chaos benefits them more. This number is rooted in expectation, not necessity. Utah being slowed even slightly forces Denver to carry an unrealistic share of the scoring load. That imbalance strongly favors the under at this inflated total.

Jazz vs Nuggets prediction: Under 247.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Napier Montgomery
Photo of Napier Montgomery

Napier Montgomery

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.
Read more about Napier Montgomery
Top Trends
Money Line

The Nuggets' record in their last 5 games stands at 4-1.

Game Totals

9 of the Jazz's last 11 games (82%) have gone over the Total

Point Spread

The Jazz have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog.

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