Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors Predictions

Fri 4/9 10:00 ET
Wizards
Washington Wizards
18-32
24-27
Warriors
Golden State Warriors
Oracle Arena

Pickswise's Expert Predictions & Analysis

Point Spread Prediction
WAS Wizards
Odds
Bonus
Game Totals Prediction
Under
Odds
Bonus

Point Spread Prediction

The Wizards took a tough loss to start the week when Gary Trent Jr’s buzzer-beater gave the Raptors the win. They showed good resilience, though, beating Orlando the next time out. It definitely helped that Bradley Beal was back in the lineup, scoring 26 points to lead the team. Things looked back to normal with Russell Westbrook posting yet another triple-double as the Wizards scored 131 points in the win. They are not that far from a playoff spot, so there are still things to play for in DC. 

The Warriors had been going through a tough stretch of late, mostly coinciding with injuries to key players like Stephen Curry and Draymond Green. Both played in their last game as they got a much-needed win over Milwaukee by a point. Curry looked as good as ever with 41 points and they likely need a lot more performances like that down the stretch if the Warriors are going to make the playoffs. Green was effective before fouling out. They need him on the floor, too. 

The win over Milwaukee was important but not nearly as impressive with Giannis Antetokounmpo not playing for the Bucks. Now the Warriors are pretty solid favorites hosting a Washington team that can be dangerous since their backcourt is back together. Golden State is going to score against Washington, but once you get past Curry it is really only Andrew Wiggins who is a regular offensive threat. With Westbrook and Beal healthy, I like the Wizards to be able to score enough to keep the pressure on Golden State and maybe even win the game. Take Washington.

Game Totals Prediction

This is a high total, in fact, if it holds at 240.5 it will be the highest for a Warriors game this season. By comparison, Washington has previously had seven games lined in the 240s this season. They have also not let us down going 5-2 to the over in those games. It seems that when oddsmakers think we are going to see a lot of points with the Wizards they have often been correct. The Wizards just scored 131 points at Orlando in a game that went over, too. This is not a back-to-back situation but they could struggle to find their legs in their first game on the West Coast. Furthermore, the Warriors are not the go-go team they once were. I am hoping this line keeps going up and will play the under. Take the under.

Computer Model Picks & Projections

The Pickswise supercomputer creates pre-game probabilities using machine learning techniques as inputs to a Monte Carlo approach. This means we simulate a sporting event 10,000 times, catering for the deep range of outcomes and probabilities within a given event. We first predict the performance of each individual player based on hundreds of algorithmic variabilities which we use to run our event simulations. The probabilities themselves are dynamic in nature and are updated as new information such as team news, weather conditions, and movement within betting markets become available. We consider a value bet as one which identifies a discrepancy between our projections and the prevailing betting markets. The ability to consistently identify anomalies between our consolidated projections and sportsbook odds provides you with an increased chance of being a successful gambler and having longterm success.

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