Best MLB player prop bets for today 6/11: Target Zack Wheeler for the win

Best MLB player prop bets for today, 6/18: Zack Wheeler delivers
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Kevin Davies


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MLB handicapper for Pickswise hailing from beautiful Boston, Massachusetts. I’ve been playing baseball since I could walk and betting games since I could (legally) gamble! I love a YRFI & NRFI bet and always on the hunt for a winning parlay.
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It’s a terrific Tuesday in baseball with plenty of new series starting today. Some of the most exciting games tonight include the Phillies coming back from London and heading to Fenway Park, the Braves taking on the red-hot Orioles in Baltimore, and the Astros heading west to the Bay to take on the Giants. I dove into the player prop market for today and found 2 best bets to make at DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Zack Wheeler (PHI) to Record the Win (+105)

Available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing

This has become my new favorite market for pitchers. To be eligible to record the win, a pitcher needs to do a few things. One, pitch at least 5 innings. Two, leave the game with your team winning and the bullpen never loses that lead. Wheeler has easily satisfied the first requirement this season since he’s completed at least 5 innings in 12 of his 13 outings. Plus, the Philadelphia ace already has 7 wins on the season, so he’s recorded a win in over 50% of his starts.

That’s because Wheeler has once again been an elite arm for the Phillies. He owns a 28.5% strikeout rate and has limited hitters to a .198 xBA to go with his phenomenal 2.23 ERA. Wheeler will be countered by Kutter Crawford, who had a stellar start to the year, but has come back to reality recently. In his first 10 starts, he had a solid 2.17 ERA. However, in his last 3 outings, Crawford has allowed 17 runs, 16 hits, 3 home runs and 6 walks. The Phillies should be able to hang a few on Crawford, and I’m confident Wheeler will do what he does best.

Read our full Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox predictions

Jordan Montgomery (ARI) Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-130)

Available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing

The Diamondbacks thought they had hit the jackpot in the offseason by signing Eduardo Rodriguez and Jordan Montgomery to their pitching staff. However, we’re 2 months into the season, and Montgomery has a 6.30 ERA in 9 starts and E-Rod has yet to make his Arizona debut. But back to Montgomery — the reigning World Series Champion has admitted that his lack of Spring Training has affected his first few starts. The lefty has been getting rocked left and right and has been nowhere near as effective as he was last season. In his 9 starts in 2024, Montgomery has allowed at least 6 hits in 7 of his last 8 starts. A big reason for his sudden failure is that he ranks in the 1st percentile in pitching run value. His sinker is no longer getting plenty of ground balls and his changeup is getting smashed in each start. Although the Angels don’t have the greatest offense, it should be strong enough to record at least 6 hits against the southpaw.

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