Best Monkey Knife Fight picks for Thursday Night Football: Jaguars vs Bengals

Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) scrambles with the ball against the Arizona Cardinals during the first half at TIAA Bank Field.
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Thursday Night Football is back for Week 4. The NFL’s primetime standalone games have been awesome so far, and hopefully, that can continue here as the Cincinnati Bengals host the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Urban Meyer era certainly hasn’t gotten off to a great start in Jacksonville as his team enters at 0-3. Joe Burrow and the Bengals have defied expectations so far to enter with a 2-1 record.

The public is flocking to bet the Bengals here, and we of course have our own thoughts on the side and total here as well, but right now we’re talking Monkey Knife Fight and the games they have available to play for TNF.

MKF is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sports sites in the U.S. with a unique offering of player props games. You don’t have to play against a bunch of professionals with algorithms and it’s super easy to use.

Here are my favorite couple of plays for Thursday Night Football, one ‘More or Less,’ and one ‘Rapid Fire.’

Don’t forget to check out our free NFL picks on the side and total for every game in Week 4!

New Monkey Knife Fight customers can take advantage of the promotion below and claim their 100% deposit match up to $100!

‘More or Less’ – Joe Burrow more than 255.5 passing yards, Trevor Lawrence more than 247.5 passing yards

Looking at this passing yards ‘more or less,’ I think the ‘more’ on both quarterbacks makes sense. For starters, this Jacksonville secondary is a mess. They’re giving up 9.3 yards per pass attempt, the third-worst mark in the league. They’ve given up at least 291 in all three weeks, and allowed 328 to Teddy Bridgewater, who hasn’t gone over 264 in either of his other two games. Burrow wasn’t asked to throw too many passes last week, but he averaged 9.6 yards per attempt against a much tougher Steelers defense. Jacksonville is quietly playing the run pretty well, they rank seventh in yards per rush attempt, so Cincy should be passing a lot more than usual here.

For the second half of this Thursday Night Football  ‘More or Less,’ I also expect Lawrence to eclipse 247.5. The Bengals’ defense has been a bit better than expected, but they’re dealing with some injuries right now. Star safety Jessie Bates and cornerback Chidobe Awuzie both won’t play for Cincy here, making things a lot easier for the rookie first overall pick. Lawrence made some strides last week, and that was against a Cardinals pass-rush that is much more intimidating than this Bengals one.

What is More or Less?
One of MKF’s most popular games, More or Less gives you a list of players and their yardage lines, and you simply have to choose More if you think they’ll go over, or Less if you think they’ll go under. It can include two or more selections, and if you get them all right you win! The more selections there are, the better the payout.

‘Rapid Fire’ – Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase

For this ‘Rapid Fire’ we’re given the choice of Burrow vs. Lawrence +8.5 bonus yards, and Chase vs. Marvin Jones +4.5 bonus yards. Even with the bonus yards for the Jags guys, I still prefer the Bengals players here. I just laid out why I’m optimistic about Burrow, as the Jaguars have yet to slow down any quarterback. Showing what a mess their secondary is, they just traded away 2020 first-round pick C.J. Henderson, who started the first two games at corner for them.

Chase correlates nicely with Burrow having a big day. The Bengals rookie has silenced the many doubters that emerged during his rough preseason, and is consistently getting behind defenses down the field. He’s had at least 54 yards in all three games thanks to averaging a ridiculous 20.0 yards per catch. With his big-play potential against a leaky secondary, he should be in for a big night. It also doesn’t hurt that the Bengals will be playing without Tee Higgins here, ensuring Chase’s target share remains high.

What is Rapid Fire?
Similar to More or Less, Rapid Fire is an either/or game, where you choose players at certain positions, with one getting a headstart over the other (eg Tom Brady +35.5 passing yards and Aaron Rodgers at quarterback), and you decide who you think will come out on top. It can include two or more selections, and again, the more selections there are, the better the payout.

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