Best NFL player props for New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons: Cool your Jets, Matty Ice

Matt Ryan playing quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs
Photo of PropBetGuy

PropBetGuy

NFL· 6 days ago

Show Bio

More commonly known as @PropBetGuy on Twitter, Doug Carter has been crunching the numbers on player props for years. He's also a staunch defender of future Hall of Famer, Eli Manning.

Before the main slate kicks off on Sunday, we head accross the pond for the first of the 2021 London games. The Jets and Falcons square off at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, in a battle of 1-3 teams. Before I give my player prop of the game, be sure to check out our experts picks for game sides and totals.

These London games have been a mixed bag over the years. The Falcons bucked tradition and decided to fly out after their Thursday practice in Atlanta, as opposed to spending a full week abroad. With the potential for jetlag to set in, and without some key players, we could see a slow start from Atlanta. That, and a lot more, plays into my favorite prop for the game.

Matt Ryan (ATL) under 264.5 passing yards (-113)

Line available at time of publishing.

Matty Ice is off to a slow start slinging the ball. He currently ranks 27th in the NFL amongst starting quarterbacks in pass yards per attempt (6.2). And life across the pond won’t get much easier for the Falcons quarterback, as he’ll be without his leading receiver Calvin Ridley, and slot receiver Russell Gage.

No Ridley – then who?

Rookie tight end, Kyle Pitts, figures to soak up some of Ridley’s targets. However, Ryan and Pitts have had a tough go finding a connection thus far, with only 15 of 26 successful completions (58%). Unproven receivers such as Olamide Zaccheus, Christain Blake, and Tajae Sharpe will likely see plenty of snaps as well.

And, of course, Ryan will continue to lean on both his running backs–Mike Davis and fantasy football darling Cordarrelle Patterson. With each registering -1.7 and 1.6 yard aDOTs respectively, it will be tough for Ryan to rack up the yardage on the shallow routes.

A sneaky tough matchup

Plus, the Jets possess a better pass defense than most realize. Currently ranking 12th in opponent’s yard per target (6.5), the Jets actually represent the pass defense that Ryan will have faced thus far this season. They’ve held 3 of 4 opposing quarterbacks under this total in regulation (Ryan Tannehill did sneak over in overtime last week). And, the Jets have allowed the 7th-lowest depth of target defensively. All positive signs to the under.

The projection

With Ryan implied at 35 passes by sportsbooks, he would have to average 7.6 yards per attempt to climb over this total. That would be his best game of the season thus far, a tall task to ask of him without his number one target. In what should be a slower (and potentially sleepy) game, I have the 14-year veteran’s yard’s projected in the high 240s.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

Pickswise is the home of free NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Check out the latest NFL Prop Bets and NFL Parlays as well as expert NFL Underdog Picks and NFL Computer Picks.

See All
DraftKings

$200

Bet $1 on the NFL, NBA or NHL & Get $100!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Place a $1+ bet on any NFL, MLB, or NHL game

If either team registers a point (NFL), hit (MLB), or goal (NHL) you will receive a BONUS $100!

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

Caesars Sportsbook

$5,000

Get a $5,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $5,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose - up to $5,000!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign Up Bonus with TwinSpires Racebook!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code BET200

Make a deposit and start wagering on horse racing

Earn $100 in bonus cash for every $400 wagered!

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.