NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions and Prop Bets for Week 11

Nyheim Hines of the Indianapolis Colts scores a touchdown
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Ricky Dimon

NCAAF · 1 year ago

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

Thursday Night Football saw a couple of unsurprising touchdown scorers add to their gaudy 2020 numbers when the Seattle Seahawks defeated the Arizona Cardinals in a crucial NFC West showdown. Tyler Lockett found the endzone again; so did DK Metcalf. That sounds about right, doesn’t it? Carlos Hyde, Kenyan Drake, and Chase Edmonds also putting six points on the board hardly came as a shock.

Who will join the party on Sunday? Let’s take a look four of the best anytime touchdown scorer bets for the remaining slate in Week 11 of the NFL season.

Favored to score – Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints (-143)

Drew Brees is out Taysom Hill—not Jameis Winston—is in. That may be bad news as a whole for the Saints, but it shouldn’t be bad news for Kamara. He is already the focal point of New Orleans’ offense even when Brees is on the field, and now the star running back figures to shoulder even more of a load. Kamara has scored 11 touchdowns in 2020, including four in the past two weeks. He is going to get a ton of carries and catch more than a few screen passes from Hill against a mediocre Atlanta defense.

Slight underdog – Nyheim Hines, RB, Indianapolis Colts (+125)

Green Bay is in the bottom half of the NFL in yards per rush allowed (4.6) and rushing touchdowns allowed (11). This may not be an easy game for the Colts as a whole, but Hines himself should be able to have some success…and find paydirt at least once. He scored twice last week against Tennessee, going for 115 yards from scrimmage on 17 touches. Hines has three receiving touchdowns in the past three outings.

Bigger underdog – Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots (+165)

There is a lot to like about Harris this week. Granted there was even more to like before Sony Michel was activated on Saturday, but Michel isn’t much of a goal-line back and he hasn’t played since Week 3. But…back to Harris—who will be RB1 for the Patriots on Sunday. He is coming off a 22-carry, 121-yard performance against Baltimore last weekend. Now he is facing a Houston defense that is dead last in the NFL against the run (167.4 yards per game allowed).

Longshot – Travis Fulgham, WR, Philadelphia Eagles (+285)

Fulgham’s targets decreased to just five last week, but that is nothing to be overly concerned about and it’s probably why you can get him at enticing +285 odds to find the endzone against Cleveland on Sunday. The second-year receiver out of Old Dominion is still averaging 9.2 targets over the past five games. During this stretch he has receiving totals of 152, 75, 73, and 78 yards. More importantly, he has scored in four of six outings this season.

What does “anytime touchdown scorer” mean?

Anytime touchdown scorer is a popular player prop bet that NFL bettors can wager on throughout the season. But what is it, and how do you win?

As the name suggests, placing a wager on the anytime touchdown scorer market is when you tip a particular player to score a touchdown during a game. This can be a rushing or receiving touchdown for an offensive player, or you can wager on a team’s defense/special teams to score a touchdown by interception return and fumble return or kickoff and punt returns.

If your player or defense scores a touchdown, you win! The odds will differ from player-to-player depending on the sportsbooks’ calculated probability of that player scoring.

Does anytime touchdown scorer include passing touchdowns?

Not for a quarterback, no. A player must get into the endzone, himself, in order to qualify as an anytime touchdown scorer. If a quarterback throws a touchdown pass, only the player who caught it counts as the scorer. If Tom Brady throws a touchdown pass to Rob Gronkowski, wagers placed on Gronkowski as an anytime touchdown scorer will cash. However, those placed on Brady as an anytime touchdown scorer will not. See below for more on what the anytime touchdown scorer market means for quarterbacks.

What does anytime touchdown scorer mean for a QB?

For a wager on a QB to be an anytime touchdown scorer to cash, he must follow the same rules as a running back, tight end, or receiver. He must get into the endzone himself, either as a runner or a pass-catcher.

In the age of the mobile quarterback, QBs such as Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes, Kyler Murray, and Josh Allen are often seen rushing in for a touchdown on any given Sunday. And don’t forget the occasional Philly Special, either. QBs can sometimes catch passes for TDs, too.

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