Mark Lammey
Show Bio
Sundays are always an interesting day in Major League Baseball. A lot of series are in their finales, creating rest opportunities or desperation attempts to avoid being swept. Whatever the case, it can cause manipulation on both sides and totals. Thankfully, those situations also create value in the player prop market. Let’s take a look at 2 hitters with hot bats and great pitching matchups. Along with our player props, be sure to check out our full game previews for tonight’s matchups.
C.J. Cron over 1.5 total bases (-140)
The Rockies are off to a better start to 2022 than most expected heading into the season. They have a great opportunity to continue that as they’re currently in a series with the Reds, the worst team in the league thus far. Better yet, Sunday’s series finale will have Reiver Sanmartin on the mound for Cincinnati. He has had quite a rough start to the year with an 0-3 record and 10.91 ERA. He allowed 9 runs in 3.0 innings in his last start, and may be in for another rough outing. The Rockies boast the 2nd-best OPS in the league, led by C.J. Cron.
He has the 11th-best OPS himself and 6th-best slugging percentage, and is showing no signs of slowing down. Not only does he have 23 hits on the year, he has 7 home runs for a total of 13 extra-base hits. Those are even more beneficial for this total base prop as it would win without needing multiple hits. Along with the pitching matchup, it also helps that Cron and the Rockies are at home in Coors Field. With a home ballpark that is famous for being the best hitter’s park by far, Cron’s chances at multiple bases increases that much more. Expect his bat to stay hot and help lead the Rockies to a series sweep.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for the Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies
Mike Trout over 1.5 total bases (+115)
Not only have the White Sox been one of the disappointments of 2022, but starter Dallas Keuchel has also been dreadful. He has an ERA of 9.00, including an outing in which he gave up 10 runs in a single inning. It seems as though all hitters have been taking advantage of his struggles, and a hitter of Mike Trout’s caliber should be no different. Even after taking a pitch to the hand, Trout leads the entire league in OPS and has the 2nd-best slugging percentage. Now facing Keuchel, those averages should only increase.
Trout has impressive numbers against lefties, including a .935 OPS. Better yet, he has great career numbers against Keuchel specifically. He is 17-for-48 against him with a .542 slugging percentage and .978 OPS. Given that he’s on a tear right now, that should continue on Sunday afternoon. Not only is the former MVP on fire right now, but he will also be hitting in a ballpark ranked third for home runs. Trout has already got a multi-home run game on the season, and we’re only needing a double. He also just had a check-swing hit that barely trickled into the outfield that he turned into a triple. Trout is back in MVP form and should help the Angels guarantee at least a series split.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for the Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox
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