Boston Red Sox Win Total Predictions, Odds, Lines & Best Bets for 2023 MLB season

Boston Red Sox left fielder Alex Verdugo (99) hits an RBI double against the Cleveland Guardians during the sixth inning at Fenway Park.
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Keith

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Lead MLB Writer for Pickswise. A Bostonian with a love for stats and baseball. Using knowledge and passion to find the right bet in MLB, NBA, NFL, and more. A lover of bold sports takes and sweat-free plus-odds picks.

If you’re interested in having a stake in each Red Sox game this season, betting on their win total is the market for you. At most sportsbooks, you can bet on the over or under the set amount of wins the Red Sox will have this season. By betting on their win total, you can be invested in each game they play in 2023. I’ve taken a look at their win total and made a best bet based on my projections.

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Boston Red Sox Win Total Odds

Following a 92-win season in 2021, the Red Sox followed it up with a 78-win season in 2022. Boston had high expectations last year after having such a strong playoff run in 2021, but the season was filled with disappointment. But the bad news kept coming for Red Sox fans as they had to say goodbye to Xander Bogaerts, J.D. Martinez, Nathan Eovaldi and Michael Wacha as they all found new homes for the 2023 season. With a new-look squad for this upcoming season, Boston isn’t expected to do much better than their 78-win season last year.

Over 78.5 wins (-105)
Under 78.5 wins (-115)

At this projection, oddsmakers are once again expecting a losing season from the Red Sox. I believe that Boston’s win total projection would have been even lower if it wasn’t for the scheduling change. In 2023, each team will play all 29 other teams. That decreases the number of divisional games from 76 to 52 – a massive difference. So Boston won’t be seeing the Yankees, Blue Jays and Rays as much, but they will be facing the Padres, Dodgers, Braves and Mets, just to name a few.

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Boston Red Sox Win Total Best Bet: Under 78.5 wins (-115)

Available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing

The Red Sox won 78 games in 2022, and I believe they have a worse team this year. Their rotation lost their 1-2 punch as Eovaldi and Wacha departed in free agency, which has led to newly-acquired Kluber being named the Opening Day starter. That announcement was slightly bizarre since Chris Sale is healthy, but the fact that the ace wasn’t named the Opening Day starter makes me concerned that Boston doesn’t fully trust him. Their pitching might be one of the worst units in the American League this season and will likely be their Achilles heel in 2023. The bottom line is Boston is not as good as it was last season, and I expect the Red Sox’s ceiling to be 76 wins.

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