Daily public money update: Bettors like the over for MNF
The NFL Week 7 slate will wrap up on Monday night, and we also have full NBA and NHL slates as we enter a new week. It’s a lot, and we’re grateful for it. There are a lot of crucial contests coming up, which always attract some big public sides. Let’s take a look at where the public money is going as bettors once again try to beat the ‘books, with the over for Monday Night Football leading the way on Monday.
NFL: Saints @ Seahawks over 41.5
Nothing the public loves more than a good over. Especially for a nationally televised primetime game like Monday Night Football. Even Jameis Winston vs Geno Smith isn’t enough to make bettors gravitate toward the under. 74 percent of the bets and 76 percent of the public money are on the over 41.5 here in Seattle, per DraftKings’ internal numbers shared with us.
Despite the underwhelming quarterback matchup and very low total, the public is expecting some points. The Saints aren’t asking Winston to do much right now, and Smith certainly didn’t light it up in his first start. When you throw in the fact that there could be rain and wind here, we’re fading the public and going under.
NBA: Bucks -3 @ Pacers
Now let’s turn our attention to the NBA. The Bucks are coming off a championship season, so you can expect to see them a lot in this column. It’s never going to be a surprise when the public decides to back Giannis Antetokounmpo. Accordingly, 88 percent of the bets and 86 percent of the public money are on Milwaukee as a modest road favorite here in Indiana.
The Bucks got blown out by the Heat last week, but have looked quite good in their other two games. Indiana just pulled off an upset of the Heat their last time out, but that isn’t scaring anybody away from Milwaukee here. The Pacers’ two losses this season have both come by a single point, so they’re probably better than most people think. We’re fading the public again here and taking the home ‘dog.
NBA: Bulls -3 @ Raptors
The Bucks aren’t the only three-point road favorite that NBA bettors like on Monday. The public is also flocking to the Bulls here. Chicago has gotten off to a 3-0 start, and everyone is excited about this new-look roster that added a ton of pieces this offseason. 91 percent of the bets and 91 percent of the public money are banking on the Lonzo Ball, Zach LaVine, Nikola Vucevic, and DeMar DeRozan quartet to keep on producing.
The Raptors scored a big win over the Celtics, but their offense has failed to reach 100 points in their other two games. They’re also still without Pascal Siakam, so our expert is agreeing with the public on this one and taking Chicago.
NBA: Magic +14 @ Heat
Let’s wrap up the NBA talk with one that actually is surprising. The first two public NBA plays were both routine spots of road favorites, but this is a bit of a curveball. It’s not everyday we see a public underdog, let alone the Magic. Orlando is widely regarded as one of the worst teams in the league and a contender for the first overall pick, but apparently 14 is too high for most bettors. 61 percent of the bets and 80 percent of the public money are on the Magic plus the points here.
The gap in those two percentages means that the larger volume bets have been on the Magic as well. That could indicate that Orlando is the ‘sharp’ side here too. The Magic just pulled off an upset win over the Knicks, so perhaps that’s what sparked this newfound optimism. We agree that this number is inflated.
NHL: Hurricanes -115 vs Maple Leafs
We are finishing things up with some NHL action. Oddsmakers have this showdown between the Hurricanes and Maple Leafs as virtually even, but bettors clearly don’t see it that way. They’re pounding Carolina on Monday night. 69 percent of the bets and a whopping 90 percent of the public money are on the Hurricanes at -115.
Once again, that 90 percent of handle means some big bets have come down on Carolina as well. Toronto just lost 7-1 to the Penguins their last time out, so this one isn’t too hard to understand. The Maple Leafs have lost three in a row, and we don’t want any piece of them right now either. We’re rolling with the Hurricanes too.